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Jokowi Infrastructure Debt Curbing Danantara Investment Plans

Bloomberg Markets •
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The financial strain facing Indonesia's state-owned construction firms, rooted in former President Joko Widodo's infrastructure drive, risks limiting current leader Prabowo Subianto's sovereign wealth fund Danantara's ability to pursue new investments. PT Adhi Karya, one of the nation's top builders, recently missed paying approximately 60.8 billion rupiah ($3.4 million) in bond interest due last week. The company confirmed it is undergoing restructuring to ensure business continuity and is arranging a meeting with bondholders on September 11 to address the missed payment.

Such situations among state-owned enterprises are raising the risk that the cost of cleaning up troubled firms could curb Danantara's investment push. The 18-month-old wealth fund manages over 800 SOEs and controls assets valued at roughly $900 billion. Lakshmanan R of Credit Sights noted that Adhi Karya is a large SOE and therefore more likely to receive Danantara's support, but there could be an impact on the fund's investment arm with less capital available for new investments.

Adhi is among state builders that Danantara is seeking to consolidate as part of a broader revamp of the construction sector, a process slowed by billions of dollars in debts extending into subsidiaries. Jokowi's decade-long reign tasked government contractors with building toll roads and highways, leaving massive liabilities. Total debt at four of the country's biggest state builders surged 12-fold to about 124 trillion rupiah under Widodo's term, with companies including PT Waskita Karya, PT Wijaya Karya, and now Adhi struggling to meet obligations.

Their combined debt has dropped slightly to nearly 118 trillion rupiah at the end of last year, close to the 120 trillion rupiah the wealth fund is expected to remit to the government this year. Danantara has inherited a genuine balance-sheet problem with the state-run builders, but problems are likely concentrated in the construction industry. While a restructuring at Adhi can be funded as demonstrated by Danantara's 23.7 trillion rupiah capital injection into PT Garuda Indonesia last year, experts warn every rupiah of repair now competes with its investment mandate.

Mary Ellen Olson of Bloomberg Intelligence stated the fund probably lacks the resources to be a bailout vehicle for all distressed assets.