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Bank of England Finalizes Quantitative Tightening Plan Through 2034

Financial Times Markets •
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The Bank of England has delivered finality on its long-stated aim to extricate itself from crisis-era quantitative easing. A multiyear plan will fully unwind bonds held for monetary policy purposes, targeting completion by September 2034. The strategy employs a mix of passive redemptions, active sales, and earmarking specific gilts to back note and coin issuance.

With a new Budget approaching, the BoE has positioned itself on the sidelines of fiscal-induced gilt yield rises, providing certainty for gilt sales and smoother private market absorption of government debt via DMO management. The decision is sensible and should simplify the BoE's monetary policy management via the short end, particularly if rates need to rise faster in response to inflationary pressures. The plan accounts for £222 billion of the £488 billion total through maturities up to 2034.

Active sales of £20 billion a year of gilts maturing between 2035 and 2049 will total £146 billion. The remaining £120 billion of even longer-dated gilts will remain within a new portfolio within the existing APF, serving as a convenient use of bonds that would be difficult to sell or take an eternity to roll off via passive maturity. Sanjay Raja, economist at Deutsche Bank, noted the plan is effectively a duration swap, allowing the DMO to recycle APF bonds with new shorter-dated issuance.

This formalizes that QT is a technical issue rather than a monetary policy one, removing acute market focus and making communications cleaner for the MPC going forward.