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Public Markets

Last updated: July 16, 2026, 5:30 AM ET

Energy Markets React to Middle East Tensions and Refinery Issues

U.S. diesel prices again, marking a 33% increase since the start of the Iran war, driven by renewed Middle East conflict and reduced refinery capacity. Oil prices remained steady after a three-day rally, with the U.S. conducting further airstrikes on Iran following shipping attacks, while TotalEnergies from the conflict to a milder second-quarter impact. Asian liquefied natural gas prices due to escalating Middle East hostilities and concerns over disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Russia's gasoline and diesel prices surged further as Ukrainian drone attacks forced refinery output reductions, exacerbating a domestic supply crunch. India raised taxes, including diesel and jet fuel, as the collapse of a US-Iran peace deal and renewed hostilities tightened global oil flows and fuel supply outlooks.

AI and Technology Sectors Face Volatility and Strategic Shifts

Memory chip stocks in Asia, with trading briefly suspended on the Korea Exchange as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics saw sharp declines. South Korea driving market volatility, particularly those tied to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix. TSMC intends to in U.S. production, bringing its total commitment to $265 billion, and has raised revenue forecasts and spending. Europe struggles reduce on American and Chinese technology, facing difficult choices regarding key sectors like artificial intelligence. Australia will impose on AI data centers and seeks to protect creators' rights for work used in AI model training. IBM's profit warning highlighted concerns over the timing of AI revenue growth, suggesting hyperscalers may have overestimated its trajectory.

Corporate Dealmaking and Investment Activity

ABB is set to in a £4.1 billion ($5.5 deal, adding to a wave of foreign interest in London-listed companies, with Rotork shareholders receiving a 60% premium. Uber has agreed to a €13 billion deal to, with the German food delivery group spinning off its Turkish and some European operations. KKR & Co. and Energy Capital Partners have for DCC Plc to over £5.7 billion ($7.6 , extending their takeover process. EQT AB is for Japan's Kakaku.com Inc., intensifying its bidding war with LY Corp. and Bain Capital. PwC and a partner were over Babcock audit failings, with the regulator citing serious breaches. Morgan Stanley's wealth management division saw a boost from SpaceX millionaires, contributing to the investment bank exceeding forecasts.

Market Performance and Economic Indicators

Gold prices fell 0.5% to $4,031.60 a troy ounce, despite softer-than-expected U.S. producer price inflation data. The dollar after lower-than-expected U.S. wholesale inflation data suggested easing price pressures, with the WSJ Dollar Index falling 0.30% to 96.86. Wheat futures following a 5% jump, as Ukrainian and Russian strikes in the Black Sea threatened key export routes. Nickel climbed to a three-week high as expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes faded, while uncertainty over Indonesian mining policy clouded supply. U.S. crude oil stockpiles of 1.7 million barrels. U.S. natural gas futures inched up for a second consecutive session, supported by a slight warming in the weather outlook. BHP Group Ltd. posted solid but warned of a copper output decline in the year ahead.

Geopolitical Tensions and Trade Dynamics

Renewed hostilities in the Middle East, causing gold to decline. The U.S. military carried out on Iranian cruise missile storage and launch sites on Greater Tunb Island in the Strait of Hormuz, after Iran's attacks on tankers. Saudi Arabia's oil loadings have slumped from the Persian Gulf following an increase in attacks on supertankers in the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency warned that the global economy faces peril if the conflict choking the Strait of Hormuz is not resolved promptly. China's rare earth export curbs could annually if fully implemented, according to the IEA. India has on diesel and jet fuel amid tightening global supply and choked oil flows. Panama officials visited Beijing in a bid to resolve a shipping dispute, as vessels rapidly removed Panamanian flags following China's increased detentions.

Regulatory and Environmental Focus

South Korea will of single-stock leveraged exchange-traded products to curb market volatility. The U.K. antitrust watchdog has into Danone's proposed $1.2 billion acquisition of Huel. European industries are expected to to emit carbon, following heavy lobbying regarding the EU emissions trading scheme review. The EU is preparing a crisis team for a potential stand-off over China's rare earths supply, with a truce set to expire in October as tensions build.

Company News and Strategic Moves

Ocado Group Plc CEO Tim Steiner to leading the company, despite a weak performance from its technology division. Huawei aims for growth, while Malaysia. Publicis raised its guidance, citing new business momentum driven by demand for AI-powered marketing services. Telenor cut its guidance following a challenging second quarter impacted by tough comparables and economic conditions in Bangladesh. Syngenta Group's planned $5 billion Hong Kong IPO faces delays due to unfavorable agricultural sector conditions.

Market Trends and Investor Sentiment

Wall Street traders are due to strong trading revenue, as the market exhibits a "risk-on" sentiment. Bullish equity investors have embraced a "Goldilocks" scenario, driving risk-on sentiment to a point where identifying the next upward catalyst is difficult as markets surge. Local mutual funds have, as perceived governance risks recede. Citigroup's Indian corporate clients are, expecting further weakening and seeking products to profit from it. India Inc. is embarking foreign, contrasting with foreign investors exiting the country's markets at a record pace. Fidelity International Ltd. plans to based on a long-term bullish outlook for the metal.


Private Equity

Last updated: July 16, 2026, 5:30 AM ET

Recordati Board Approves CVC and GBL Offer; Ares Completes REIT Take-Private

The board of Italian drugmaker Recordati has deemed the €51.29 per share takeover offer from CVC Capital Partners and Groupe Bruxelles Lambert to be financially fair, with independent directors breaking ranks to support the bid Recordati board backs. Meanwhile, Ares Management has finalized its acquisition of Whitestone REIT, taking the U.S. retail property owner private in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $1.7 billion Ares completes $1.7bn.

Private Equity Continues Dealmaking Across Sectors

Arlington Capital Partners is set to acquire Gooch & Housego, an optical designing, testing, and manufacturing business, in a £345.6 million deal. Montagu is acquiring GBA Group, a laboratory testing business based in Hamburg, Germany. Arrow Global has added Milanese real estate developer Borio Mangiarotti to its portfolio. In a move from the technology sector, Verdane has purchased a portfolio of technology stakes from bp Verdane buys portfolio.

Major Financing and AI Investments Underway

The New York Yankees are reportedly in advanced talks to secure nearly $3 billion in financing from Apollo Global Management Apollo in advanced talks. In the artificial intelligence space, Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, and Anthropic have launched a new AI services provider named Ode with Anthropic, with backing from Apollo Global Management, General Atlantic, GIC, Goldman Sachs, Leonard Green, and Sequoia Capital. BlackRock's GIP is also acquiring commercial solar power firm Summit Ridge, which constructs, owns, and operates solar and energy storage systems.

Tech and Services Acquisitions and Exits

Gemspring-backed Amplix has acquired tech sourcing and procurement firm One Connect. Caltius has invested in tech services firm SaaS Consulting Group. VSS has exited its investment in tech services company Centroid Systems. Godspeed-backed ICE USA has acquired easement acquisition and project management firm SLC. RFE-backed Launch Pad has acquired home inspection firm Key Inspection Services. Veritas is set to acquire facilities management services firm BGIS. Phoenix Equity Partners has invested in specialist supply chain consultancy Squarcle.

Record Activity in Secondaries and Fund Launches

Louisiana Teachers is exploring a secondaries sale of its private equity assets to reduce its buyout allocation and increase liquidity. Credit manager Serone has launched a buyout secondaries strategy, making key hires from Ardian and UBS to lead the initiative. High Vista has appointed Ramit Malhotra as principal for its GP-led secondaries team, having launched the strategy earlier this year. Carlyle Alp Invest has closed its second single asset-focused fund on $1.7 billion, surpassing its target and predecessor fund. Growing institutional investor interest is fueling dealflow in real estate secondaries.

Other Notable Transactions and Market Trends

Mutares has sold its Finnish remediation firm Redo to Invex Group. Audax and Linden are selling Stat Lab Medical Products to Leica Biosystems. Cutting Edge has acquired the music rights and royalties of TV/film composer Brian Tyler’s catalog. Francisco Partners is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire a controlling stake in construction software maker Command Alkon for up to $1.3 billion Francisco Partners closes. EQT has sweetened its bid for Australian fund manager Perpetual to A$22.07 per share after its initial offer was rejected EQT sweetens Perpetual. KKR is marketing Europe's first debt deal backed by PayPal's buy now, pay later loans KKR markets Europe's.

Venture Capital and Fintech Funding Trends

Venture funding into fintech startups increased by nearly 23% year-over-year in the first half of 2026, despite a more than 25% drop in deal count, indicating fewer but larger investments. Corporate venture capital is showing a split, with wind-downs at companies like PayPal and Fidelity International suggesting a concentration of power at the top of the market. Greylock has capped its new fund at $1.5 billion, aiming to remain a highly focused partner to its portfolio companies. EQT-backed Syntetica raised $30 million, with backing from Lululemon. Robotics startup Monumental has raised $32 million, backed by Khosla Ventures.

European Tech and Investment Landscape

European rounds are seeing larger deal sizes, though the overall number of closed deals is decreasing. Discussions around the most valuable board members for European companies, according to founders, and leading tech hubs by deal activity in the first half of 2026 are ongoing. The European market is highlighted as the "best market in the world" by one cofounder of a company building humanoids. CalPERS has reported a preliminary net investment return of 14.8% for the year ended June 30, 2026, with private equity being a significant contributor Private equity lifts CalPERS.

AI Specialists and PE Firm Collaborations

Private equity firms are increasingly teaming up with AI specialists. Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, and Anthropic have launched Ode with Anthropic, an AI services provider. Aramco is reportedly in talks to back Humanoid at a unicorn valuation. The broader GP-to-GP market remains subdued compared to the exceptional levels seen in 2021, according to Montagu's Christoph Leitner-Dietmaier, who views deal complexity as a source of opportunity.


Sector Investment

Last updated: July 16, 2026, 5:30 AM ET

Infrastructure Funds Attract Capital Amidst Sector Shifts

Clifford Capital is launching an opportunistic infrastructure credit fund, with its energy transition vehicle already securing $345 million in commitments toward a $600 million goal. Pantheon's global head of infrastructure, Andrea Echberg, highlighted the growing importance of infra secondaries as a core investor allocation, discussing continuation funds on a recent podcast Pantheon noted. Meanwhile, Primevest Capital is preparing to launch a €1 billion European mobility fund focused on assets like EV charging facilities.

Renewables Face Geopolitical Headwinds While Healthcare Sees Private Equity Activity

The infrastructure sector is grappling with potential disruptions, as the fallout from geopolitical events like the Iran conflict could severely impact renewables developers. In the healthcare and life sciences space has announced a new investment in West Physics, a company founded in 2002.