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Markets 3h

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Public Markets

Market Performance

The S&P 500 dropped sharply as Nvidia's earnings disappointed, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite falling 3.1%. Treasuries rose amid the tech sector slump, pushing longer-maturity yields toward their lowest levels of the year. Morgan Stanley highlighted that hyperscaler AI spending is set to exceed dot-com peak levels, while Nvidia CEO Huang dismissed the "Saa Spocalypse" narrative as a "deep misunderstanding."

Fixed Income & Credit

MBaer Merchant Bank faces potential loss of US financial system access, while Blackstone Credit Fund is marketing its biggest bond premium since 2021 amid continued signs of stress. Fed Governor Miran suggested four interest rate cuts are appropriate this year, totaling about a percentage point. Meanwhile, HSBC cut US exposure while boosting emerging market equities.

Corporate News

Ebay announced plans to cut 800 jobs as part of a strategic restructuring. Mosaic was downgraded by JPMorgan due to rising input costs and weaker 2026 earnings. Oddity faced downgrades as sales are expected to decline following an ad algorithm change. Sandoz was downgraded by Barclays amid limited near-term re-rating potential.

Sector Developments

BP is aggressively expanding shale drilling, bucking the conservative approach of many rivals as the UK oil giant seeks to reverse years of anemic output. Broadcom expects to sell 1 million 3D stacked chips by 2027. Lumen will expand Anthropic's fiber network in the US. Uber and Lyft stocks surged after Trump scrapped the Biden-era contractor rule.

International Markets

Colombia's dollar bonds fell across the curve and the peso led emerging-market losses after a new poll showed leftist Senator Iván Cepeda with a wide lead in the presidential race. Indra Sistemas shares jumped close to 22% after reporting a seven-fold uptick in defense orders. Russia eyes higher Urals oil exports to China amid Indian cutbacks, while Gulf petrostates rush to export crude amid fears of a US strike on Iran.

M&A & Investment

Victory Capital filed a competing bid to acquire Janus Henderson, claiming it's higher than the $7.4 billion offered by Trian Fund Management. Irenic Capital made an unsolicited bid for Reservoir Media, whose catalog includes Joni Mitchell and Sheryl Crow. J.M. Smucker added directors in a deal with activist firm Elliott.

Economic Indicators

US jobless claims rose slightly to 212,000, up 4,000 from the previous week but below expectations. Canada's securities watchdog was rebuked by a court over a forex trading case, with record legal costs awarded to My Forex Funds. Bulgaria saw its ski station become a refuge for digital nomads, highlighting evolving work patterns.


Private Equity

Fundraising & Investment Strategy

Carlyle is targeting $200 billion in new inflows by 2028 as its turnaround gains traction. The firm expects to raise at least $200 billion in inflows by the end of the period. Cavu has promoted Jared Jacobs to managing partner after his tenure since 2017.

Portfolio Company Activity

Gemspring-backed Zavation has acquired Choice Spine, expanding its spinal implant portfolio. Renovus-backed Solomon Edwards has snapped up CFO's Domain, a consulting and recruiting firm. Tonka Bay has backed Camp Digital, a home services marketing platform where founders Katie Donovan and Meg Stapleton will continue leading the company.

Large-Scale Transactions

Equinix and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board are nearing a $4 billion deal to acquire Nordic data center operator at North. Summit Partners has invested $122 million in content monetization firm Stay22 to support global expansion and product innovation.

Industry Commentary

Clearlake's José E. Feliciano warns that "everything's being lumped into the same bucket" regarding AI disruption, noting that buyouts of software businesses are currently viewed negatively. Toyota is planning to unwind approximately ¥3 trillion in strategic shareholdings held by banks as part of its reform drive.

Leadership Changes

Sterling has appointed Noah Bishop as senior vice president to focus on sourcing and evaluating new platform investments while supporting value creation across portfolio companies.


Sector Investment

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