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Markets Challenge Trump Treasury Over Bond Interference

Financial Times Markets •
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Last year, Wall Street analysts lived under a cone of silence, reluctant to criticize the US administration's tariff policies and institutional shifts. Direct criticism of Donald Trump's financial lieutenants was kept behind closed doors. However, a shift has occurred recently, particularly after Scott Bessent's Treasury department meddled in the bond market.

Equity investors shrugged off political interference, but bond investors, who consider themselves intellectually superior due to their focus on swap spreads and convexity, pushed back against Treasury actions designed to tamp down borrowing costs. This interference "poked a beast," emboldening critics. Macro hedge fund titan Stan Druckenmiller, mentor to Bessent and Kevin Warsh, gave air cover in a Wall Street Journal opinion piece, pleading for markets to be allowed to give bad news to policymakers.

The FT reports other market participants have become more direct, describing Bessent's efforts to fluff up bond prices as "whimsical" and "self-defeating." Even IMF official Tobias Adrian criticized central bank communication trends. The atmosphere has changed significantly from the fear of the previous year, where analysts feared firing for disliked labor statistics, to a environment where market voices are increasingly vocal about irrationalities and inconsistencies.