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Public Markets

Last updated: October 20, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Asian Equities & Tech Sell-Off

Asian stocks kept falling on Tuesday, shrugging off Wall Street's overnight rally, while Nasdaq futures rebounded as investors cautiously returned to artificial-intelligence names. Chipmakers led losses in Seoul, where Korean chip stocks slid on a yield spike and an IPO stumble. Hong Kong-listed tech shares were also under pressure as sentiment toward artificial intelligence soured.

AI Credit & Debt Anxiety

Concern over AI-linked debt drove a surge in default insurance trading, with volumes in credit default swaps tied to big technology groups climbing sharply. SoftBank Group's credit risk hit a four-year high as funding strain on its AI bets weighed on investors. Core Weave came under scrutiny after its shares slid last week, though JPMorgan defended its debt model, citing strong AI demand, and Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to buy. U.S. equities later recovered as traders pared back bets on a credit squeeze, and Morgan Stanley's Wilson urged investors to prepare to add risk as the months-long pullback ends. Nomura argued that investors are likely underestimating AI profitability across the supply chain, while Elice, a South Korean data-centre builder, tumbled 33% on its trading debut.

Rates, Bonds & Currencies

Japanese investors bought the most domestic government bonds since 2009, and a 20-year JGB auction drew the strongest demand on record. Treasuries fell as a tech rebound reduced haven demand, and French bond yields rose on protests and budget concerns. In the UK, wage growth strengthened the case for Bank of England rate hikes, and Canadian traders raised bets on a rate increase next week. China may shift its policy rate to the overnight tenor, a move analysts say would lower borrowing costs. The Singapore dollar consolidated against the greenback amid mixed signals.

Commodities

Oil futures settled lower after the U.S. waived some new Russia sanctions, with Brent holding near a five-month high as traders weighed Iranian supply risk. Iran's main oil terminals have remained empty for weeks under a U.S. blockade. Gold edged lower on elevated yields, while copper held a drop as traders gauged tariff risk. Natural gas futures fell to a two-week low as offshore production recovered. Japan is months from running out of yttrium as China tightens rare-earth export controls, and Chinese nickel producers plan to discuss cutting Indonesian output.

Deals & Listings

ABB agreed to pay $495 million for a controlling stake in a Mitsubishi Electric unit, and Tradeweb agreed to buy Trumid for about $1.97 billion. Silgan will combine with Trivium Packaging in a $3.4 billion deal, and Roche partnered with China's Hansoh in a deal that could top $15 billion. Kimberly-Clark raised $4.9 billion from a bond sale to fund its Kenvue takeover. In listings, Mynt, the operator of GCash, rose in its debut after the Philippines' largest IPO. Jio Platforms is aiming for a $107 billion valuation in what would be India's biggest IPO. A failed Firmus Grid IPO has prompted information gathering by Australia's regulator, and Indonesia moved to expel key stocks in a bid to fend off an MSCI downgrade.

Regulation & Corporate Governance

Sea's CEO said its financial services arm could go public. The EU accused KKR of misleading regulators over a €22bn telecoms deal, and the Bank of England scrutinised Barclays over claims its traders misrepresented private-credit exposure. Starboard targeted Honeywell spin-off Solstice after a failed megadeal, and H.B. Fuller rejected Ancora's latest acquisition bid. The DHS ordered DeepSeek technology removed from federal civilian IT systems. Uber defeated a High Court lawsuit brought by London's black-cab drivers, and Freshfields apologised over leaked Middle East comments.

Coming Up

The Bank of Canada decision is due next week, with more economists and traders now expecting a rate hike. The Kroger and Albertsons merger trial begins Monday.


Private Equity

Last updated: October 20, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Venture & AI Funding

AI assistant startup Town reached a unicorn valuation just four months after launch, a sign of how quickly investors are backing consumer-facing AI products. Nvidia challenger Tenstorrent hit a $6.2B valuation as it scales open-weight AI chips following a fresh raise and earlier acquisition interest. Ex-Deep Mind researcher Thore Graepel launched Metis Reasoning, a new startup for reasoning-focused AI.

In Latin America, startup funding rose 26% in the third quarter as investors returned to the region, driven by late-stage growth deals and a surge in seed activity. Meanwhile, Crunchbase News questioned the valuations of enterprise AI firms that rely heavily on forward deployed engineers.

Large Buyouts & Carve-Outs

KKR agreed to sell Infinity Transportation to Ares Management for $2.9bn at an enterprise value that reflects strong demand for railcar leasing assets. AIP will commit $1bn for a 40 percent stake in Silgan's $3.4bn Trivium deal, a sizable co-investment in metal packaging. Forward Consumer Partners struck a deal to carve out the first aid brand Welly from Unilever. EQT agreed to take Cleanaway private in Australia, underscoring continued take-private activity in the region.

In Europe, CVC's Panzani entered exclusive talks to merge with Sofina-backed Cerealis, which would combine two dry grocery producers operating across several countries. Trilantic Europe and CDP Equity agreed to sell Diagram to BF International, while Investcorp Technology Partners acquired a majority stake in Spanish marketing automation firm Connectif.

Mid-Market & Sector Deals

Clairvest's Nex Tech Solutions made its sixth add-on acquisition with Halcyon Days Consulting, a Maryland-based builder of tactical mission networks. Archimed took a majority stake in medical imaging cloud provider 3verest. Garibaldi Blue acquired a majority stake in Canadian coffee roaster Level Ground. Banner Capital launched a roofing platform through a deal for Exterior Solutions Group. Ardan Equity and GI Partners took co-control of Clinical Ink, and Lightview Capital invested in lobbying firm Thorn Run Partners. Charlesbank backed trial firm Wood Smith Henning & Berman through a new MSO, and Main Capital combined Omnidocs and Wood Wing into a €70m document software group.

Fundraising & Firm Moves

Blackstone closed its fifth energy fund at an $8.7bn hard cap, a sizable raise for energy transition investing. Secondaries fundraising slowed, with $80.5bn raised across the first three quarters. THL Partners hired Bruce Robertson from HIG Capital as healthcare managing director, and Evercore promoted Nigel Dawn to co-president.

Industry Outlook

Carlyle CEO Harvey Schwartz flagged cyber risk as the greatest threat facing the industry today, alongside the need for proprietary data and the rush to finance AI. Commentary on private equity's unwritten track record noted that longer holding periods have changed how investors assess buyout performance. In France, founders are bracing for more uncertainty after days of violence, with fintech Qonto vowing to rebuild after damage from riots in Paris.


Sector Investment

Last updated: October 19, 2026, 10:40 PM ET

Real Estate Investment

Canada's PSP plans to expand its use of real estate funds, making more fund commitments while still seeking to trim direct exposure. PGIM is nearing the close of Asia Fund V, its largest Asia-focused vehicle to date, and is weighing single-country strategies alongside it.

Healthcare Private Equity

Amulet Capital Partners recapitalized a US fertility platform, one of the notable healthcare private equity deals in the tracker.

Infrastructure and AI

Canada is positioning itself as a strong location for AI infrastructure, drawing on low-carbon energy and cross-border connectivity. EQT's AI-focused fund received a $2.1 billion uplift, while Ares made its entry into the European market.