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Trump's China visit meets reality check

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When Donald Trump lands in Beijing mid‑May, expectations of trade breakthroughs quickly fade. The former president arrives amid sinking U.S. approval ratings and a China that no longer measures its progress against America. President Xi Jinping's team, aware of Trump’s weakened leverage, is unlikely to negotiate substantive concessions, leaving the visit a diplomatic formality rather than a turning point.

Chinese professionals I met in Shanghai recall a time when “Meiguo” symbolized wealth and cultural power. Today, many young technologists cite invisible barriers and declining living standards in the United States, while praising state incentives that fuel domestic startups. Their sentiment reflects a broader shift: China’s transition to AI, green energy and robotics is now viewed as a model for long‑term growth.

The widening perception gap carries market weight. Foreign firms eyeing Chinese partnerships must account for a political climate that favors domestic champions and tighter tech controls. Conversely, U.S. investors confront heightened risk as Chinese consumers increasingly view America as a cautionary tale rather than a growth engine. Trump’s Beijing stop therefore underscores a new equilibrium where China sets more of the global agenda.