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Ukraine Drone Strikes Cost Russia $970M in Oil Revenue

Financial Times Markets •
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Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian Baltic export terminals have inflicted nearly $1 billion in losses to Moscow's energy revenues, according to Kyiv School of Economics estimates. The strikes on Primorsk and Ust-Luga facilities, which handle over 40 percent of Russia's seaborne crude exports, have disrupted operations and exposed vulnerabilities in Russia's anti-drone defenses.

The attacks have burned $200 million worth of oil at Primorsk alone, with repairs potentially taking months. Ust-Luga's naphtha exports, which account for 8 percent of global supply, have dropped by 70 percent since the strikes began. The disruption has sent naphtha prices in Asia doubling since the war's start, creating ripple effects across petrochemical markets.

Despite Russia's multi-layered defense systems including electronic jamming and reservist units, Ukrainian drones continue to penetrate critical infrastructure. Businesses report spending billions on their own defenses as state support remains inadequate. The sustained campaign demonstrates Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities, forcing Russia to implement extensive internet shutdowns and raising questions about Baltic countries' airspace security as Ukrainian drones fly through the region.