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Trump pushes 401(k) exposure to private credit amid credit‑cycle worries

Financial Times Companies •
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Donald Trump has moved to let workers channel 401(k) savings into private‑credit vehicles, arguing that ordinary Americans should follow the wealthier investors who already tap private equity and real‑estate funds. The administration lifted long‑standing restrictions on employer‑sponsored plans, opening the door for riskier, higher‑yielding assets to flow into retirement accounts.

Financial‑services veteran Gary Gensler warns that the credit market is at the tail end of a two‑decade private‑credit wave that now totals roughly $2tn, double its share of the economy compared with the 2008 junk‑bond era. As leveraged loans trade below par and funds scramble to offload aging assets, regulators and Fed officials have repeatedly flagged systemic risk.

With the Treasury already consulting state insurance commissioners about mounting private‑credit exposures, retirees could become the “slow deer” caught in the final stretch of this credit cycle. The push to inject billions of 401(k) dollars into illiquid deals may amplify losses if defaults rise, leaving ordinary savers to bear the fallout.

Investors and policymakers face a stark choice: tighten rules on alternative‑asset allocations or accept broader market exposure. Until clearer guidance emerges, the prudent move for most Americans remains a diversified portfolio anchored in traditional equities and bonds, rather than chasing the allure of private‑credit yields.