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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Market Moves

Stocks fell wsj.com sharply Friday after a surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report heightened recession fears, with the Dow dropping 550 points. The data also raised bets bloomberg.com on Federal Reserve rate cuts, providing some support for gold prices. Bonds pared bloomberg.com their worst weekly loss since April as the labor market shock and surging oil complicated the inflation outlook. U.S. oil prices wsj.com skyrocketed at their fastest pace on record this week as the Strait of Hormuz bloomberg.com remained effectively closed for a sixth day, with only Iran-linked tankers transiting. The conflict exposed limits bloomberg.com in Wall Street's diversification strategies, rattling even typically stable portfolios.

Deals & IPOs

AI chipmaker Cerebras tapped Morgan Stanley to lead a renewed attempt at an initial public offering. In a separate tech deal, Axel Springer nytimes.com agreed to buy the U.K.'s Telegraph for $766 million. The leveraged buyout of Electronic Arts bloomberg.com is moving toward a debt split of $10.5 billion for the U.S. market and €4 billion for Europe. Meanwhile, private credit secondary wsj.com buying is expected to rise as some investors seek exits from interval funds, and BlackRock's retail bloomberg.com private-credit ambitions are running into market angst after its $12 billion HPS acquisition.

Geopolitical Risks & Energy

The war in Iran wsj.com is reshaping energy markets and global trade flows. UAE and Kuwait bloomberg.com began oil output cuts as the Hormuz blockage ripples through supply chains. Saudi Arabia bloomberg.com intercepted drones heading toward its Shaybah oil field, highlighting regional threats. Asia's import-dependent economies are battling a fuel crunch bloomberg.com, with Thai farmers racing for diesel and Indian refinery executives monitoring the Gulf around the clock. The conflict is also disrupting food production nytimes.com by driving up fertilizer prices from the Persian Gulf. Lloyd Blankfein bloomberg.com warned of geopolitical risk building in "an anxious market," while Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com said there is "not a ton of confidence" in U.S. security measures for Hormuz.

Corporate & Sector Developments

Samsung ft.com is seeking AI deals to challenge Apple's smartphone lead, planning future Galaxy devices to host multiple AI models. The OpenAI-Anthropic nytimes.com competition has become deeply personal, extending to Pentagon contract negotiations. Google ft.com gave CEO Sundar Pichai a new pay deal worth up to $692 million, tied to Waymo's performance. Stablecoin firms bloomberg.com like Circle and Stripe are racing to build payment systems for future AI agent transactions. In auto news, car insurance costs ft.com are rising due to skills shortages and complex vehicles, while Volkswagen dealers wsj.com are revolting over a plan to sell a new SUV brand directly to consumers. South Korean battery maker SK bloomberg.com laid off 958 workers in Georgia amid an EV sales slowdown. Chobani bloomberg.com expects over $1 billion in 2026 earnings as it plans heavy growth spending.

Financial Conditions & Credit

Bank and asset manager stocks bloomberg.com fell Friday as fresh worries over private credit combined with a broad selloff. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com argued that insurer bond yield moves on private credit fears are "overdone." First Brands creditors ft.com are reckoning with a dwindling chance of repayment as upcoming asset sales may yield only $200 million against a $12 billion debt pile. Brightline Florida bloomberg.com train debt was downgraded amid thinning reserves, signaling likely restructuring. UK lenders ft.com raised mortgage rates as warnings mounted over inflation and energy prices following the Middle East war. Colombia's local debt bloomberg.com rallied on the oil price surge, flipping from worst to best performer in emerging markets.

Markets & Geopolitics

International funds wsj.com are outperforming U.S. funds so far in 2026, gaining 9.3%. The Big Winner wsj.com from the Persian Gulf energy crisis may be Russia, giving Putin renewed leverage. Japan and Canada bloomberg.com pledged deeper energy ties and military cooperation as both seek alternatives to U.S. security guarantees. Mainland Chinese investors bloomberg.com sold a record $3.5 billion of Hong Kong stocks in a single session, reflecting geopolitical aversion. India's energy conundrum ft.com is intensifying as Middle East supply is hit, while Sri Lanka bloomberg.com believes it is in a "good position" to absorb oil price shocks.