A software engineer with 12 years of experience argues that AI will systematically replace developers, predicting a three-wave timeline. The first wave, where LLMs aid daily work, is now underway and may last 1-2 years. This is already causing hiring hesitancy as companies invest in tools instead of people.

The second wave (2025–2035) will see tools like Devin replace junior developers, leading to mass layoffs and a drop in labor value. The author contends that AI won't create more jobs than it destroys. Instead, it will enable unemployed developers to build competing systems, potentially threatening big tech monopolies.

The final wave focuses on societal adaptation, extending automation to manual labor with robotics. The author foresees severe economic turbulence and a dystopian class split: an 'organic' oligarchy that can afford human-made goods and a 'synthetic' class consuming AI-generated basics. This is a stark forecast for tech's future.