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AI Job Fears Not a Job Apocalypse, Experts Say

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A March Quinnipiac poll found that 70 percent of Americans fear AI will shrink job prospects, up from 56 percent a year earlier. 30 percent worry about roles. Leaders like Anthropic’s CEO Dario Amodei predict that half could vanish in five years, while Microsoft AI’s Mustafa Suleyman sees work automated within 12‑18 months.

Despite alarm, macro data offers a different picture. March 2026 unemployment sits at 4.3 percent, barely below the 4.4 percent level recorded in 2020. Average hourly earnings remain flat, and software‑engineer demand is rising. Economists like Alex Imas argue that AI will make knowledge abundant, pushing labor toward the relational sector where human touch commands premium prices for companies and investors daily.

The lesson from past tech waves—like the 1979 VisiCalc release—shows automation rarely cuts jobs, instead spurring new demand. As AI lowers costs, firms may hire more for complex, human‑centered roles, echoing Imas’s Jevons Paradox. Investors should focus on companies that harness AI to enhance relational services rather than betting on a sudden mass unemployment wave for sustained growth globally today.