Manchester City's defense has shown worrying cracks, conceding 11 or more shots in each of their last seven Premier League matches. The reigning champions are averaging 12.8 efforts against per game, a far cry from the suffocating control Pep Guardiola's teams typically impose. Even Wolves managed to hit the 11-shot mark, suggesting this isn't a one-off blip.

Nottingham Forest have been playing with desperation and bravery, averaging a hefty 18.5 shots per game across their last eight matches. The pressure of relegation has pushed them to commit numbers forward and pull the trigger often. This attacking volume contrasts sharply with City's defensive vulnerability, creating an intriguing betting angle.

The odds for Forest to register 11 or more shots at 10/11 with Sky Bet represent a tempting wager. With City giving up territory and Forest attacking with abandon, the statistical matchup favors a high-volume shooting performance from the visitors.