The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Baltimore Ravens Thursday night with Baltimore starting undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano at quarterback due to injuries to Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley. Jacksonville enters the game atop the AFC South after rolling past the Colts, while Baltimore has lost three straight. The market has shifted dramatically, opening with Baltimore as a three-point favorite before money moved Jacksonville to a 10-point favorite -- a 13-point swing.
The over/under has dipped to 40.5 points. Jacksonville leads the league in run defense at 77.4 yards allowed per game but will be without DT Da Von Hamilton. Baltimore needs Derrick Henry to carry the offense, though Henry has rushed for just 58, 45 and 53 yards in his last three games.
On offense, Trevor Lawrence has gone under his passing yards line in four of seven games this season. The Jaguars run just 59.1 plays per game (26th in the league) and run on 48.3% of snaps. Baltimore's defense generates pressure on 39% of dropbacks.
Notable player props include Lawrence passing yards UNDER 235.5 (-112) and Zay Flowers receiving yards OVER 46.5 (-113). The player prop market may offer better value than the spread with Lawrence averaging just 5.1 fourth-quarter dropbacks per game.
Source: ESPN General · Summarized by HeadlinesBriefing