Sky Sports' Jones Knows identifies Manchester City as vulnerable against Wolves this weekend, despite being heavy favourites. The expert highlights Wolves' improved defensive discipline under Rob Edwards, ranking second in expected goals against over their last eight matches. City's chaotic week suggests a pragmatic, low-scoring approach.

The betting angle focuses on under 3.5 goals at 4/5, acknowledging Wolves' tight backline and City's need for control over expression. A 1-2 away win for Wolves at 10/1 is floated as a potential upset. This fixture typically promises goals, but current trends and City's distractions point towards a more restrained contest.

Elsewhere, Tottenham's away form makes them a strong pick at Evens against Burnley, while Brentford's formidable home record presents a solid case against Nottingham Forest. The expert also spots value in a Fulham-Brighton draw and backs Florian Wirtz to score for Liverpool against Bournemouth.