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Arnold Palmer Invitational 2026: Højgaard, Lowry Top Betting Picks

ESPN General •
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The Arnold Palmer Invitational returns to Bay Hill Club and Lodge this week, where length off the tee and controlled iron play are essential for success. The challenging course features thick rough, demanding par 3s exceeding 200 yards, and a setup that rewards precision over power. Players who can manage missed greens and grind out four rounds will have the advantage.

Nicolai Højgaard emerges as a strong contender at +5600 odds, showing significant improvement in his short game and ball striking. The Danish player ranks second in par 3 scoring and fourth on long par 3s, directly correlating to Bay Hill's setup. His recent form shows positive gains on approach and off the tee, removing the liability that plagued him in previous appearances. Ryo Hisatsune offers value at +14500 for a top 30 finish, with a quietly strong 2026 profile gaining strokes across all facets of the game.

For daily fantasy considerations, Shane Lowry at $8,600 presents a compelling option with his iron play and historical comfort at Bay Hill, including back-to-back top 10s. Pierceson Coody at $6,700 shows baseline improvement with one of the strongest tee-to-green profiles in his price range. The analysis suggests fading Scottie Scheffler at $14,200 despite his elite status, as his approach numbers aren't dominant enough to justify the premium price tag.