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Alibaba's Q4 Profit Falls Sharply Amid AI Spending

Wall Street Journal US Business •
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Alibaba Group’s Hong Kong‑listed shares slid 7% this year as the company’s fourth‑quarter earnings reveal mounting pressure on core profitability. After a 29.85 billion‑yuan loss the previous year, the tech giant posted an 86 million‑yuan adjusted net profit for March, a sharp decline that investors watched closely in the broader e‑commerce market and signal deeper cost challenges.

Alibaba’s headline net profit rebounded to 25.48 billion yuan—about $3.75 billion—thanks to mark‑to‑market gains on equity holdings and a low base from last year’s disposals of Sun Art and Intime. Analysts had expected 11.16 billion yuan, so the result still falls short of projections. This gap signals that investment returns may not fully offset operating losses, raising concerns for investors.

Investors will scrutinize how Alibaba balances AI spending with competitive threats in food‑delivery, where rivals like Meituan and Ele.me gain market share. The company’s ability to convert tech investments into revenue will dictate whether the adjusted profit can recover, impacting shareholder value and the broader Chinese tech sector in the fiscal cycle and maintain investor confidence.

Alibaba’s quarterly performance underscores the fragility of its earnings model amid aggressive AI R&D and a saturated online‑shopping market. Market watchers will assess whether the company can translate its high‑cost initiatives into sustainable growth. Until then, the stock’s volatility will likely mirror the broader uncertainty surrounding China’s tech giants for investors seeking stability and analysts.