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Oil nudges up as Iran-U.S. talks target Hormuz cease‑fire

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Oil prices edged higher on Thursday as traders weighed the diplomatic overture between Iran and the U.S. in Switzerland. The two sides met for a first‑round dialogue aimed at converting a short‑lived cease‑fire in the Strait of Hormuz into a more durable arrangement. Markets responded modestly, with Brent climbing a few cents and the S&P 500 barely shifting to the broader market.

The talks follow weeks of heightened tension after Iranian vessels threatened to disrupt shipping lanes that funnel roughly a fifth of global oil supplies. A permanent truce would ease insurance premiums and reduce the risk premium baked into futures contracts, offering a cushion for refiners and transport firms that have been pricing in geopolitical volatility.

Investors will watch the next round of negotiations for any signal that the temporary cease‑fire can be cemented. A durable agreement could stabilize spot prices and lower the cost of capital for projects dependent on uninterrupted flow through the Hormuz corridor. For now, the market treats the meeting as a tentative step toward de‑escalation among energy traders.

The outcome of the Swiss talks will likely influence daily price bars on the NYMEX and shape corporate budgeting cycles for oil‑intensive firms that monitor Hormuz risk as a core input to their cost models. Analysts expect the market to adjust quickly if any side signals a setback, keeping volatility in check.