Israel's Mossad intelligence service, under Prime Minister Netanyahu, believed it could ignite a mass uprising against Iran's theocratic government within days of the U.S.-Israeli airstrikes launched on March 6th. The agency projected that targeted operations could paralyze the regime, leading to its collapse. However, three weeks into the conflict, this mass uprising has not materialized. American and Israeli intelligence assessments confirm Iran's government remains weakened but intact, its security forces suppressing potential dissent through widespread fear and violence. Kurdish forces in northern Iraq received covert support, but cross-border incursions by ethnic militias have not materialized either.