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Eurozone Growth Holds at Modest Pace

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Eurozone private sector expansion held steady in January, with the composite PMI Output Index at 51.5 for a 13th straight month of growth. However, the pace remained the joint-slowest since September, as services growth slowed to a four-month low while manufacturing production returned to expansion territory after a prior contraction.

The data reveals a fragile recovery, marked by declining export orders and the first workforce reduction in four months, led by severe job cuts in Germany. Despite this, business confidence reached a 20-month high, with manufacturing optimism hitting a nearly four-year peak, suggesting corporate sentiment is improving ahead of actual output gains.

ING analysts note that while inflation pressures are intensifying, the moves aren't enough to sway the European Central Bank from its current stance of holding interest rates. Hamburg Commercial Bank's Cyrus de la Rubia called the recovery "feeble," suggesting more of the same ahead, with rising services inflation potentially validating the ECB's patient approach to monetary policy.