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China's Solar Panel Glut Exposes Market Failure as Clean Energy Reaches Surplus

Financial Times Markets •
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China's solar manufacturing sector faces a paradox that would make Karl Marx nod in recognition. Companies can produce 1,000 gigawatts of panels annually, yet the world lacks demand for this clean energy bounty. Over 40 manufacturers have collapsed, bought out or delisted, while a third of workers at surviving firms lost their jobs.

The crisis stems from massive overcapacity following President Xi's 2020 decarbonisation push. OECD data reveals the solar industry received less than $18bn in subsidies over 15 years - an investment that created more clean power than global markets can absorb. As Beijing cuts feed-in tariffs and export tax breaks, the shakeout intensifies.

Critics blame China's mercantilist model and protectionism, but this misses the bigger picture. Solar panels represent a technological breakthrough, not just another commodity. The Mission 300 programme aims to power 300mn people in Africa with clean electricity, while Shanghai firms pursue space-based solar for orbital data centres.

Rather than panic, the solar industry needs better coordination. Unlike early 2010s European manufacturers, Chinese players continue innovating and integrating battery storage. The real failure lies in allowing a renewable energy recession precisely when clean power reaches escape velocity. Dirt-cheap solar and batteries are the shock troops of the clean electro-tech revolution, but 2026 may be remembered as the year we wasted this opportunity.