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US Consumer Goods Sector Lags Behind Tech Boom as Growth Slows

Financial Times Companies •
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While data centers power the US economic narrative, driving stock markets and electricity demand, another vast corporate sector tells a starkly different story. Consumer packaged goods companies—from Coca-Cola to Procter & Gamble—face stagnant growth despite selling essential products. These firms now compete against agile insurgent brands that capture 70% of market expansion, leaving established players struggling for relevance.

Sales volumes at 15 major CPG companies turned negative in 13 of the last 18 quarters, with S&P 500 food and household sectors delivering just 2% and minus 6% returns over five years. Middle- and lower-income consumers face mounting pressure as real wage growth stalls, while GLP-1 drugs and flat population growth reduce demand for traditional staples. The auto industry mirrors this trend, with unit sales stuck around 16 million—well below pre-pandemic levels.

Aggressive cost-cutting strategies pioneered by 3G Capital have proven insufficient. Deals like Kimberly-Clark's acquisition of Kenvue and McCormick's purchase of Unilever's food business triggered investor skepticism, sending shares tumbling. The focus on financial engineering over product innovation has backfired, leaving these companies unprepared for evolving consumer preferences.

This widening gap between investment-led tech and consumption-driven traditional sectors explains economic contradictions: low unemployment alongside poor consumer sentiment. The US economy increasingly resembles a zero-sum game where growth remains scarce across much of corporate America.