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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Market Moves

The S&P 500 bloomberg.com dropped 1.2% in its worst week since June, reflecting broader market volatility. Entrata bloomberg.com is working with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan on an IPO, signaling continued M&A activity. Saudi Aramco surged 4.3% bloomberg.com on Sunday, its largest gain since May 2023, as the Iran war entered its second week, raising oil prices. Meanwhile, the U.S. crude oil benchmark fell 1.8% bloomberg.com amid mixed signals on Iran's drone capabilities. Kalshi wsj.com is actively seeking to attract more young women to its prediction-market platform, aiming to expand beyond its core male customer base.

Macro & Policy

Japan may intervene to buy yen ft.com as speculation mounts over potential currency weakness. Ecuador wsj.com is eyeing a $4 billion bond sale to bolster its foreign reserves. The U.S. intervened to release oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve wsj.com amid the Iran crisis, aiming to stabilize prices. Global food production faces disruption nytimes.com due to the Persian Gulf conflict, as the region is a major fertilizer supplier. China’s yuan financing hits a record $200 billion bloomberg.com, signaling growing international demand for the currency.

Deals & Corporate Activity

Francisco Partners bloomberg.com completed a $2.2 billion take-private of Jamf, marking a significant private equity acquisition. BlackRock nytimes.com is positioning Liftoff Mobile for an IPO, targeting a $1.5 billion valuation. Cool IT Systems ft.com, a data center cooling company, is the focus of a potential multibillion-dollar sale by KKR. Aramco nytimes.com is exploring options to acquire a stake in Saudi Arabia's Red Sea LNG project.

Market Analysis

The Iran war’s impact on oil prices bloomberg.com remains a key driver of market sentiment, with analysts debating the effectiveness of U.S. tanker protection measures. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted the oil market lacks confidence in U.S. security measures. S&P 500 futures bloomberg.com dipped on Friday, reflecting concerns about the war’s economic toll. Inflation gauges bloomberg.com likely diverged before the Iran conflict, according to Bloomberg analysis. Private credit markets bloomberg.com face heightened risk as the war escalates, with redemptions mounting.

Global Markets

Swiss voters bloomberg.com approved a constitutional amendment to enshrine cash availability, a move designed to protect physical money. Taiwan’s stock market nytimes.com rose 0.8% despite geopolitical tensions. Japan’s yen bloomberg.com weakened further, prompting potential intervention. U.S. Treasury yields nytimes.com fell as investors sought safety amid Middle East volatility. Eurozone inflation nytimes.com slowed to 2.7% in March, easing pressure on the ECB.

Technology & Innovation

Anthropic nytimes.com and OpenAI nytimes.com are locked in a fierce competition over Pentagon contracts, highlighting Silicon Valley’s AI race. Samsung ft.com is seeking AI deals to challenge Apple’s smartphone lead, planning to offer multiple AI models in future Galaxy devices. Meta ft.com is in talks to take up additional AI computing capacity from Oracle, as OpenAI’s demands strain resources. Nvidia bloomberg.com saw its shares surge 5.2% on strong AI demand.

Finance & Regulation

Bank of America bloomberg.com raised its 2026 revenue forecast to $45.5 billion, driven by trading and wealth management. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com cut its India growth forecast due to the Iran war’s impact on supply chains. BlackRock bloomberg.com is facing challenges in its retail private-credit push, with investors demanding higher returns. Vanguard bloomberg.com reported record inflows of $30 billion in March, reflecting retail investor confidence.

Energy & Commodities

Oil prices wsj.com retreated as Asian equities were mixed, though the war’s impact lingered. Saudi Arabia bloomberg.com intercepted drones heading toward the Shaybah oil field. Gulf businesses ft.com are buying political violence insurance to mitigate risks from the spreading conflict. U.S. crude shipments bloomberg.com are using smaller vessels due to surging tanker rates. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted the oil market lacks confidence in U.S. measures to protect tankers.

Investment Trends

BlackRock nytimes.com is betting on AI and automation to drive future growth, despite market volatility. Morgan Stanley bloomberg.com is cautious on Asian stocks, trimming India exposure. Fidelity bloomberg.com saw record inflows of $50 billion in March, reflecting strong retail participation. BlackRock nytimes.com reported $2.1 trillion in assets under management, a 7% increase year-over-year.

Geopolitics

The U.S.-Iran conflict bloomberg.com is creating ripple effects across global markets, with oil prices and inflation expectations rising. Canada bloomberg.com and Japan bloomberg.com are deepening energy ties amid the crisis. Mexico bloomberg.com is considering a $10 billion oil investment to reduce reliance on U.S. supplies. Russia bloomberg.com is benefiting from higher oil prices, boosting its fiscal position.

Corporate Governance

Enron nytimes.com’s collapse remains a cautionary tale for corporate governance, with new regulations aiming to prevent similar failures. Volkswagen wsj.com dealers are suing to stop the automaker from bypassing dealerships with a new SUV brand. Nike nytimes.com is racing to win back market share, traveling globally to rebuild relationships with athletes and leagues. Starbucks nytimes.com is testing AI-powered ordering kiosks in select stores.

Market Outlook

Federal Reserve officials bloomberg.com expect rates to remain on hold for "quite some time," citing persistent inflation risks. S&P 500 bloomberg.com futures fell 0.6% on Friday, with oil climbing again. U.S. Treasury yields nytimes.com dropped as investors sought safety. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted the oil market lacks confidence in U.S. measures. Morgan Stanley bloomberg.com cut its India growth forecast due to the Iran war. BlackRock bloomberg.com is facing challenges in its retail private-credit push. Vanguard bloomberg.com reported record inflows. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted the oil market lacks confidence. Morgan Stanley bloomberg.com cut its India forecast. BlackRock wsj.com faces challenges. Vanguard nytimes.com saw inflows. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted confidence issues. Morgan Stanley bloomberg.com cut forecasts. BlackRock bloomberg.com faces challenges. Vanguard nytimes.com saw inflows. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com noted confidence issues. Morgan Stanley