The Pistons host the Cavaliers in Game 5 on Wednesday with the series tied 2-2, and the home team has won and covered the spread in all four games so far. Detroit won its two home games by 10 points each (111-101 and 107-97), while Cleveland is 0-5 both straight up and against the spread on the road this postseason. The SportsLine Projection Model backs the Pistons to cover as 3.5-point favorites, projecting Detroit to win in 68% of 10,000 simulations. Kevin Huerter (adductor) and Duncan Robinson (back) are listed as questionable for Detroit.

New users can claim the BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS for up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first wager loses. The model has also found value in the NHL and MLB, backing the Wild +1.5 against the Avalanche (projected to cover in 67% of simulations) and Over 7 total runs in Padres vs. Brewers (59.9% projection). Minnesota covered the puck line in three of four regular-season meetings with Colorado.

Combining all three picks into a Wednesday parlay yields a payout of +534. The Cavaliers' Donovan Mitchell averaged just 27 points in Detroit compared to 39 at home, illustrating the home-road disparity that has defined this series.