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Public Markets

Last updated: November 4, 2026, 4:00 PM ET

Midterms and Washington Power

Democrats took control of Congress nytimes.com in a landslide, setting up a legislative branch ready to reassert its authority over the White House. The result has been read as a rebuke of the administration's energy agenda, with the war in Iran and fossil-fuel promotion cited as drags nytimes.com on the GOP ticket. Trump said he is willing to accept the results nytimes.com, while Florida Governor Ron DeSantis called the losses bloomberg.com an "extinction level event." Democrats also flipped the Senate nytimes.com, with Kansas electing a Democratic senator in Adam Hamilton's win nytimes.com. Elon Musk, who spent over $440 million wsj.com on the midterms, now faces a hostile Congress.

Markets and Sector Reactions

U.S. stocks rallied as uncertainty evaporated bloomberg.com, with futures edging higher wsj.com and Treasurys strengthening. Citadel Securities' Rubner sees stocks set up bloomberg.com for year-end gains, though Bloomberg notes that post-midterm returns with divided government bloomberg.com have historically lagged. Defense stocks slid on both sides bloomberg.com of the Atlantic, while renewable shares surged bloomberg.com on the new political map. Tesla and SpaceX shares fell premarket wsj.com as the vote was called. Gold surged above $4,000 bloomberg.com an ounce as the dollar and yields fell, and the dollar dipped most in two months bloomberg.com. Two-year Treasury yields hit a two-month low wsj.com.

European equities posted their biggest gain since June bloomberg.com, led by banks and luxury names, and European bank stocks bounced back bloomberg.com as uncertainty eased. Stocks in Asia erased early losses bloomberg.com as AI worries subsided, while South Korean AI stocks showed the trade's fragility bloomberg.com. Alcohol stocks jumped on hopes that the blue wave would benefit the industry.

Energy and Oil

Oil tumbled below $100 ft.com on post-election peace hopes, with North Sea prices plunging further bloomberg.com as traders weighed de-escalation. The Trump administration's diesel deal with Russia faltered ft.com as U.S. fuel supplies hit a 20-year low, and U.S. crude inventories posted a fifth straight weekly drop wsj.com. Iran has turned to guerrilla tactics wsj.com to reassert its grip on the Strait of Hormuz, prompting the UAE to consider a third pipeline bloomberg.com that bypasses the waterway. Qatar is set to become the largest buyer ft.com of U.S. LNG. Freeport-McMoRan approved a $4.5 billion bloomberg.com copper expansion in Arizona, and Japanese traders including Mitsui posted a profit surge ft.com on copper and conflict. Palm oil fell to its lowest since June bloomberg.com, and corn hit a four-month low bloomberg.com on supply and peace hopes. Europe's gas market braced for Trump's next move wsj.com on Iran, and budget airfares are rising ft.com as fuel costs climb.

Corporate Earnings and Deals

CVS Health will split off its pharmacies nytimes.com in a breakup planned for 2028, and raised its full-year forecast wsj.com on health-care benefit gains. Novo Nordisk lifted guidance wsj.com as the Wegovy pill rollout continues. Super Micro Computer's revenue jumped 297% wsj.com on AI infrastructure demand, while AMD beat expectations wsj.com as it pivots to a data-center focus. Datadog's shares tumbled wsj.com after a major AI customer scaled back usage. Uber's revenue growth slowed wsj.com on fuel prices and tighter driver supply, and Booking signaled a weaker final quarter bloomberg.com. The New York Times added 420,000 digital subscribers nytimes.com in the third quarter. BMW cut its outlook again wsj.com, and Volvo Car sales fell 16% wsj.com. Ahold Delhaize cut its profit forecast ft.com after a cyber attack. Empower Brands made an unsolicited $1.6 billion bid wsj.com for Helen of Troy, and Andersons agreed to buy Harvestone wsj.com for $915 million. Meta seeks to raise $9.2 billion wsj.com in its debut euro bond sale. Boehringer Ingelheim signed a cancer drug deal bloomberg.com with Sino worth more than $7 billion. Shein is investing €500 million bloomberg.com in Europe as customs rules tighten, and Oracle cancelled a $7bn Tencent AI deal ft.com under Trump pressure. Continental narrowed its sales outlook wsj.com after revenue slumped, and McDonald's profit climbed wsj.com despite sluggish domestic sales. 3M agreed to a $7.4 billion wsj.com settlement over "forever chemicals" injuries. Dine Brands, owner of Applebee's, logged higher sales wsj.com but profit slipped. Block beat profit estimates bloomberg.com and raised its guidance. Apollo's originations hit a record wsj.com $114 billion. Wayfair logged a profit wsj.com on U.S. sales. Pandora lifted its outlook wsj.com ahead of peak festive season.

Banking, Finance and Regulation

Democrats' control of Congress raises new regulatory scrutiny bloomberg.com for Wall Street, and Wall Street strategists are girding for a debt-ceiling fight in 2027. JPMorgan and Bank of America are preparing a $2.4 billion bloomberg.com debt sale for CVC's IFF deal. Hudson River Trading joins Wall Street's shift bloomberg.com toward prediction markets. Treasury kept coupon auction sizes unchanged wsj.com, and tweaked its debt-sales guidance bloomberg.com, opening the way to auction shifts. UOB shares tumbled bloomberg.com after third-quarter profit missed estimates. Starling Bank's chief will step down ft.com after just two years. Serbian authorities detained the owner ft.com of Alta Bank over missing millions. Credit traders bet on a data-center slowdown after the Democratic sweep. Hong Kong's IPO boom is slowing bloomberg.com, with the highest abandoned listings since 2008. Yamato Holdings shares surged bloomberg.com on a Farallon Capital stake.

Politics, Trade and Policy

The New York Times reported that Trump nytimes.com said in an interview he would accept the outcome. Trump blamed the Iran war wsj.com for the GOP's losses. Pandora and others are watching whether Democratic governors, elected partly on pledges to halt data-centre building ft.com, reshape local policy. Florida passed sweeping property tax cuts bloomberg.com that challenge local funding. San Francisco's BART won a lifeline bloomberg.com as voters approved a new tax. Israel's president could play a key role nytimes.com in breaking the post-election deadlock. The U.S. assisted Venezuela nytimes.com in a deadly drone strike, officials say. Venezuela moved to reform bloomberg.com its anti-hate speech law. Lockheed Martin will pay $29.5 million wsj.com to settle a federal probe over diversity efforts. Bill Gates warned that Trump's inaction ft.com leaves the world exposed to AI bioweapons. Chinese authorities stepped up defense bloomberg.com of the stock market through state-backed buying.

Technology and AI

The Google will turn off search nytimes.com for schools that reject its A.I. tools. Silicon Valley promises AI will cure disease, but drugmaker CEOs remain skeptical wsj.com. Bitcoin miners that pivoted to AI wsj.com found the work just as turbulent as crypto. The Binance hack of roughly $6 billion ft.com was the largest heist ever, with North Korea suspected. Accenture was accused ft.com of publishing an AI paper littered with hallucinations. Meta's Alex Schultz says AI productivity gains ft.com are vital amid population collapse fears. Uber is accelerating ft.com its robotaxi rollout, aiming for 2,000 vehicles on the road by the end of next year. Anthropic's stock-based expenses have prompted calls ft.com to revisit IPO rules.

Coming Up

Democrats take the new Congress nytimes.com in January with the power to check the administration. The 2027 debt-ceiling showdown is already drawing Wall Street's attention. Nvidia-driven tech earnings are expected to shape bloomberg.com the next leg of the market move.


Private Equity

Last updated: November 4, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Venture Capital Shifts

Less than 2% of startup investment so far this year has gone to companies in post-election red states, according to Crunchbase data. Meanwhile, Sequoia is consolidating techcrunch.com into a smaller, Bay Area–centered firm and shutting down parts of its two-decade expansion. Capital concentration is also a theme in new reporting showing that most venture funding news.crunchbase.com flows to companies founded or led by billionaires.

Ted Schlein's Ballistic Ventures is seeking $490M techcrunch.com across new funds, with $360 million targeted for its cybersecurity-focused vehicle as demand for AI-driven security grows. An ex-Hummingbird investor is also planning a new VC firm sifted.eu, according to sources.

Major Financings

Andreessen Horowitz and DFJ Growth co-led a $375m Series C peinsights.substack.com in satellite ground network Northwood. Hamilton Lane reached a first close pei-secondariesinvestor.com on its latest flagship fund and launched a debut vehicle focused on GP-led secondaries.

Buyouts and Deals

One Rock Capital Partners agreed to acquire a majority stake in Kraft Heinz's Maxwell House coffee business in a $650m carve-out peinsights.substack.com. PAI Partners agreed to buy ELEMIS peinsights.substack.com from L'Occitane Group, returning the business to independent ownership. White Bridge Capital invested alongside US hospitality investor Gencom in its acquisition of Rosewood London peinsights.substack.com.

Fund Launches and Wealth Channels

Clearlake Capital launched Clearlake Private Wealth peinsights.substack.com, a dedicated platform for secondaries offered through an interval fund, extending private markets access to individual investors.

Industry Leadership and Talent

Starling Bank's CEO is reportedly stepping down sifted.eu after just two years in the role. On the hiring front, tech companies are urging job applicants sifted.eu to show AI fluency without overdoing it.

Coming Up

The TechCrunch Founder Summit techcrunch.com opens its doors at 9 a.m. ET in Boston.


Sector Investment

Last updated: November 4, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Healthcare Private Equity

5th Century Partners thehealthcareinvestor.com has made a new investment in the ION PT Network, adding to its growing footprint in healthcare services and outpatient care.

Defence Infrastructure

Investors infrastructureinvestor.com are showing caution toward defence infrastructure, with several challenges weighing on sentiment as capital looks for clearer risk-return profiles.

UK Water Sector

A new EIPA paper argues that regulated returns infrastructureinvestor.com are not the root cause of the UK's water troubles, shifting the debate toward operational and governance issues.

Real Estate M&A

Berkshire Global Advisors perenews.com says gap-filling deals will drive the next wave of real estate M&A, as firms that spent years building platforms through acquisition look to close remaining portfolio and capability gaps.