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Shang Dynasty oracle bones reveal ancient climate disasters

Ars Technica •
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Ancient Chinese oracle bones and modern weather models have revealed how typhoons thousands of kilometers away devastated the Shang Dynasty 3,000 years ago. Researchers from Nanjing University linked Shang Dynasty divination texts, archaeological evidence of abandoned settlements, and coastal sediment records from Japan and South Korea to reconstruct these ancient disasters. The findings show how El Niño cycles intensified typhoons, causing catastrophic flooding across central China's Yellow River Valley.

Around 3,800, 3,300, and 2,800 years ago, populations in both the Shang Dynasty's Central Plains and the Shu civilization's Chengdu Plain experienced sharp declines. Archaeological sites show settlements relocated to higher ground, with layers of flood-deposited mud preserving evidence of the devastation. The timing aligns precisely with periods of more intense typhoons recorded in coastal sediments, suggesting climate-driven disasters repeatedly disrupted these early Chinese civilizations.

Computer simulations demonstrated how typhoons, even those that never made landfall, could funnel moisture hundreds of kilometers inland through altered wind patterns. The Shang Dynasty's oracle bones, with over 55,000 pieces documenting flood concerns, provide written evidence of these climate impacts. This interdisciplinary approach combining paleotempestology, archaeology, and climate modeling offers modern insights into how distant weather systems can trigger regional catastrophes, serving as a warning for today's climate change challenges.