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Senators bar themselves from prediction markets after candidate bet

Ars Technica •
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After a Virginia Senate hopeful placed a $100 wager on his own race, the Senate Ethics Committee moved to bar its members from trading in prediction markets. Independent candidate Mark Moran admitted the bet on Kalshi to generate free media buzz, then rejected a settlement that would have forced a public apology. His stunt sparked fresh accusations of “blatant, brazen corruption across parties in Congress.

Kalshi responded with a five‑year suspension and a $6,229.30 fine for Moran, while announcing new technological guardrails that automatically block politicians and athletes from specific markets. Meanwhile, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission asserted exclusive jurisdiction, filing newly lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut and Illinois to curb state attempts at tighter oversight. CFTC chair Michael Selig warned against “overzealous” regulators.

The episode underscores a growing clash between federal regulators and state lawmakers over who controls gambling‑style betting on political outcomes. With platforms like Polymarket deploying blockchain monitoring and the Senate tightening its own rules, participants now face tighter compliance hurdles. Ultimately, the Senate’s self‑ban aims to restore public confidence in both elections and emerging finance products.