Fantasy championships aren't won in the first five rounds. Everybody at your draft table walks away with stars; the margins are decided later, when the pool is shallow and you're throwing darts in the 20th round. Here's the thing about those darts: most people throw them blind. But the late rounds aren't a lottery -- they're the most inefficient part of the draft, which means they're the most exploitable.

ESPN tracks average draft position out to a 10-team league, so 230 players. Under 200 ADP, a player's going in most drafts. From 200 to 210, it's a coin flip. Past 220, he's almost certainly there for you. So the question isn't whether you can get these guys late. It's which of them have an actual reason to pop.

Anton Frondell, C, Chicago Blackhawks (ADP 226.7): With Connor Bedard sidelined, the Hawks offense will run through Frondell. His shots-per-minute rank was good enough to be 14th in the NHL last season. Danila Yurov, C, Minnesota Wild (ADP 229.9): The Wild did not get the top-line center they need, so they will roll with Yurov, who broke Vladimir Tarasenko's KHL points record. Gabe Perreault, RW, New York Rangers (ADP 229.4): Nine goals in the final 23 games of last season hints at his potential.