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Premier League predictions: Guehi fouled, under 2.5 goals bets

Sky Sports Champions League •
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Our top tipster Lewis Jones, aka Jones Knows, was in flying form last weekend - can he repeat the trick? His best bet for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City is Marc Guehi to be fouled +2 times at 5/4 with Sky Bet. Guehi has been fouled 43 times in his last 17 matches, with opponents committing two or more fouls on him in 10 of those games - a 59% hit rate. This makes it a value play against Sky Bet's 5/4 odds. The Selhurst Park factor adds spice as this is Guehi's first return to his former club, and Enzo Maresca surprisingly used him in central midfield against Bournemouth.

Against Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest, Jones Knows backs under 2.5 goals at 5/4. Forest have failed to score in both games against Leeds, producing just 1.4 expected goals across 180 minutes. Glasner's teams have struggled to create against Iraola's sides, failing to score in four of five meetings.

SCORE PREDICTIONS: 1-2 and 2-0 respectively.