Sky Sports betting expert Jones Knows identifies a striking pattern in Liverpool's away performances under Arne Slot. The Reds have scored just four first-half goals across their last 18 away matches, with under 0.5 first-half goals landing in 72% of those games. This conservative approach contrasts sharply with the Klopp era's explosive starts.

The Wembley factor continues to suppress goal tallies, with just 1.93 average goals per game across the last 54 matches at the national stadium. Jones highlights the Marc Guehi foul market as a value addition to under 3.5 goals bets, with the defender winning 11 fouls in his last six starts.

Manchester United's interim success under Michael Carrick masks underlying issues, sitting at just +0.1 xG per 90 minutes. Meanwhile, Ismaila Sarr's electric away form - nine goals in nine road starts - makes him a compelling 11/4 pick against Brentford. The draw at 13/5 between Everton and Sunderland also offers value given both sides' poor recent form.