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Spence vs Tszyu: Predictions for Sydney Showdown

ESPN General •
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Errol Spence Jr. returns after a three-year absence to face Tim Tszyu on Saturday in Sydney (PBC PPV on Prime Video, 9 p.m. ET). The bout at 160 pounds matches two former champions at career crossroads. Spence (28-2, 22 KOs) hasn't fought since his ninth-round TKO loss to Terence Crawford in July 2023. He's now training with Ronnie Shields in Houston after parting with Derrick James.

Tszyu (27-3, 18 KOs) suffered back-to-back defeats in 2024 — first to Sebastian Fundora, then a brutal knockout by Bakhram Muratallaiev. The punishment absorbed has raised questions about his durability. Both fighters need a statement win to remain relevant among top contenders.

Trainer Robert Garcia favors Tszyu due to activity and health concerns around Spence's return from the Crawford loss and a 2019 car accident. Garcia predicts Tszyu wins, possibly by stoppage, advising him to box smart early and finish strong. Former champion Raul Marquez notes both fighters are diminished: Tszyu from wars with Fundora and Muratallaiev, Spence from inactivity and the Crawford beatdown. Marquez believes Spence wins if he reverts to his systematic body-punching style, but questions whether that version still exists.