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Yen Skepticism After U.S.-Japan Intervention

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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A joint currency intervention by the U.S. and Japan has temporarily boosted the yen from a 40-year low, but sustaining its strength faces challenges. Japanese authorities have previously attempted solo interventions, setting a floor around 160 yen per dollar without lasting impact. Japan's finance minister indicated readiness for further joint action with the U.S. However, analysts suggest the yen's recovery hinges on a shift in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy.

Despite inflation exceeding targets, the central bank has been hesitant to raise interest rates due to a history of deflationary concerns. This cautious approach drives investors toward currencies offering higher returns on short-term bonds, such as the U.S. dollar, where short-term rates are approximately 2.5 percentage points higher. Investors anticipate further rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.

The yen hovered around 157 to the dollar recently, recovering from a pre-intervention low of nearly 164, the weakest level since 1986. Experts believe a sustained yen appreciation requires monetary policy tightening from the Bank of Japan.