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Yen hits 40-year high, Japan readies possible FX intervention

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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The Japanese yen slipped against the U.S. dollar in early Asian trade, sending the dollar‑yen rate to 162.67 after briefly touching 162.69, the highest intraday level since 1986. That 40-year high revived fears of official action, prompting traders to flag the pair for possible intervention. Analysts warn the weaker yen raises import costs for manufacturers and could squeeze margins if it lingers.

NAB senior economist Taylor Nugent warned markets are now “on watch for stronger verbal warnings or outright intervention” from Tokyo. Finance Minister Shunichi Katayama echoed the sentiment, saying Japan stands ready to act whenever necessary. The yen’s slide also pressures the Bank of Japan, which has kept rates near zero, to consider whether further stimulus is sustainable. Japan’s current‑account surplus narrows, adding pressure on policymakers.

Investors and exporters are pricing in a higher chance of a rapid yen‑buying operation, which could tighten liquidity and lift import costs. Currency hedgers scramble for forwards as the pair tests resistance near 163. Such a swing would also affect overseas bond investors, since yen appreciation usually pushes Japanese yields higher, and could affect equity valuations.