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Yen hits 40-year low, traders hunt next support level

Bloomberg Markets •
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Traders are scrambling as the yen slips to its weakest level against the dollar in four decades. The slide has renewed focus on where market makers might draw the next line in the sand for Japan’s currency. Currency desks in Tokyo and overseas are tightening spreads, while hedgers reassess exposure ahead of potential policy moves before the next official warning.

The sharp depreciation follows a series of interventions earlier this year that failed to curb upward pressure on import costs. Export‑driven firms benefit from a cheaper yen, but higher input prices threaten profit margins for manufacturers reliant on overseas raw materials. Investors watch the Bank of Japan’s likely response, weighing the risk of further accommodation against inflationary pressures in the second half of the year.

With the currency now testing historic lows, any breach of a psychologically important threshold could trigger automated stop‑loss orders, amplifying volatility. Corporations with dollar‑denominated debt may face rising servicing costs, prompting balance‑sheet revisions. The market’s next move hinges on whether policymakers intervene decisively or allow market forces to dictate the yen’s trajectory, a gamble that could reshape Japan’s trade dynamics.