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Quantum Computing Threat to Cybersecurity

Wall Street Journal Markets •
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Quantum computers pose a significant threat to current cybersecurity infrastructure, as their ability to efficiently solve complex mathematical problems could render standard encryption obsolete. Traditional security methods rely on massive numbers called public keys, which are nearly impossible for ordinary computers to crack but vulnerable to quantum computers' pattern recognition capabilities. Hackers equipped with quantum technology could break encryption protecting online transactions, private messaging, and secure website connections.

While quantum computers remain largely experimental and confined to lab conditions, several companies are investing heavily in their development. International Business Machines plans to deliver the first quantum computer for real-world applications by 2029. The hypothetical "Q-day" when quantum computers become powerful enough to break standard-key encryption is expected to occur gradually over several months or years, according to Scott Aaronson, a computer-science professor at the University of Texas at Austin.

Quantum-safe encryption systems already exist, including lattice-based protocols that use geometry-based problems resistant to both standard and quantum computers. The National Institute of Standards and Technology released three postquantum cryptography standards in 2024, urging organizations to align quickly with a target to phase out legacy systems by 2035. The U.S. government set a postquantum compliance deadline of 2030 for federal agencies.

Major tech companies like Alphabet's Google, Cloudflare, and Microsoft aim to use quantum-resistant encryption across all products by 2029. Messaging platforms Signal and Apple's iMessage already use postquantum end-to-end encryption, while Meta Platforms' WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger are deploying postquantum features. Password managers Keeper Security and 1Password have adopted quantum-resistant algorithms. Financial institutions and credit-card networks are also transitioning to postquantum protocols. Despite these efforts, a recent survey by Trusted Computing Group found that 91% of security professionals lack a formal migration road map.