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Canada growth forecast and deficit cut under Carney

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Prime Minister Mark Carney delivered a fresh budget update to Parliament on Tuesday, projecting that Canada will post modest GDP growth this year despite ongoing trade turbulence. He emphasized a strategic pivot toward markets beyond the United States, signalling confidence that diversified export channels will offset recent volatility in North‑American supply chains, and signal to global investors that policy continuity will persist.

Trade disputes with the U.S. have squeezed key sectors such as lumber and automotive parts, prompting Ottawa to negotiate new agreements with European and Asian partners. Carney noted that the fiscal plan will shrink the federal deficit by several billion dollars over the next two years, a move intended to bolster sovereign‑credit ratings, lower borrowing costs, and support infrastructure spending.

Investors responded with a modest rally in Canadian equities, particularly in exporters poised to benefit from the new trade outreach. The Canadian dollar steadied after a brief dip, reflecting confidence that fiscal discipline will cushion the economy from external shocks, while keeping inflation pressures in check and preserving household purchasing power. Carney’s roadmap thus translates political intent into tangible market reassurance.