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Job Market Strength Challenges Fed's Inflation Focus

New York Times Business •
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The US labor market delivered a robust performance in March, adding 178,000 jobs and pushing the unemployment rate down to 4.3 percent. This significant beat of economist expectations signals continued resilience despite economic headwinds. Revisions to previous months showed a net addition of 7,000 jobs, though February saw a loss of 133,000 positions.

The data, collected before the recent Middle East energy price shock, suggests the job market remains a key strength. Health care led gains with 76,000 new positions, while manufacturing added 15,000 jobs after a three-year downturn and construction grew by 26,000. However, the federal government shed 18,000 jobs, continuing its long-term contraction. Wage growth slowed to a 3.5 percent annual rate, the slowest since 2021, barely keeping pace with inflation.

Average hours worked also fell to 34.2 hours, indicating smaller paychecks. The labor force participation rate for prime-age workers edged down slightly to 83.8 percent. These figures give the Federal Reserve more flexibility, as the solid jobs data offsets the inflation risks from the Iran conflict, potentially delaying further interest rate cuts.

Economists caution that persistent issues like immigration restrictions and an aging workforce may constrain future job growth, despite the current strength.