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May Job Growth Surges to 172K as Labor Market Strengthens

New York Times Business •
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American employers added 172,000 jobs in May, far exceeding economist expectations and signaling a genuine labor market upswing. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.3 percent, while wage growth cooled to 3.4 percent annually—the slowest pace since August 2021. This comes as inflation runs at 3.8 percent, meaning workers are losing purchasing power despite the hiring boom.

Leisure and hospitality led gains with 70,000 new positions, potentially reflecting early World Cup preparations. Health care added 35,000 jobs, continuing its steady contribution to employment growth. Local government surged with 55,000 hires, mostly outside education, while federal employment stabilized after losing 350,000 positions since late 2024. The diffusion index hit 54.4, indicating broad-based job growth across industries.

Revised data shows March and April generated 93,000 more jobs than initially reported, bringing the 2026 average to approximately 114,000 jobs per month—dramatically outpacing last year's 10,000 monthly average. This strength stems partly from near-zero net immigration under Trump administration policies, creating potential labor shortages ahead.

The robust report complicates the Federal Reserve's calculus ahead of its June meeting. Investors now price in a full 0.25 percentage point rate increase by December, abandoning expectations for cuts. Markets slid 0.7 percent Friday amid rising rate expectations. The White House hailed the numbers as validation of Trump's economic agenda, though wage growth trailing inflation poses ongoing political risks.