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Mizuho Upgrades Palantir on 'Spectacular Growth' and Valuation Reset

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Mizuho has upgraded Palantir to Outperform from Neutral, citing a compelling combination of rapid growth, accelerating momentum, and expanding margins. The bank's analysts highlighted the company's unique position in the software sector, emphasizing its ability to deliver strong revenue growth and margin expansion. This upgrade reflects a shift in sentiment, driven by a perceived valuation reset.

Mizuho's positive outlook stems from a belief that a re-rating has occurred, with the firm's 2026 estimated EV/FCF valuation multiple dropping by 46% in the first six weeks of the year. The analysts also pointed to strong momentum in Palantir's U.S. commercial segment, particularly due to increasing enterprise adoption of its Artificial Intelligence Platform. They also reiterated their $195 price target.

Mizuho sees Palantir well-positioned to capitalize on long-term trends, including AI, government digital transformation, and industrial modernization. The firm's confidence in Palantir is supported by surging U.S. commercial business, fueled by enterprise adoption of AIP and the growing need for internal data integration. This upgrade signals a positive shift in the investment community's view of the company.