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BofA: US Natural Gas Prices Surge as Winter Storm Looms

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U.S. natural gas futures spiked over 56% this week, hitting an intraday high of $5.65 as a major winter storm threatens the Midwest and East Coast. BofA analysts note the surge reflects delivery concerns, not a supply shortage. Gas-exposed stocks like EQT Corp and Range Resources rose on the news.

The storm could add nearly 30 billion cubic feet of heating demand, shrinking projected winter storage to about 1.7 trillion cubic feet. This shift follows a warm January, highlighting how extreme weather drives price volatility. A balanced market price is typically seen around $3.50, with $4.00 indicating tightness.

Market discipline has kept equity gains measured, with stocks trading within a band implying $3.50–$4.00 gas prices. Investors will watch if infrastructure, hardened since the 2021 Texas freeze, holds up. The storm's impact on power grids and data centers, which now limit plant downtime, remains a key risk.