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BofA Downgrades Zegna, Calls for Earnings Beats

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Shares of Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. slid more than 9% to $10 after Bank of America cut its rating from Buy to Neutral, warning that further upside hinges on beating revenue and EPS forecasts. The analyst team trimmed its 2026‑2027 EBIT outlook by 3‑7%, leaving estimates 8‑9% under consensus.

Zegna’s recent revival shifted focus from lagging formalwear to luxury men’s leisurewear, delivering retail revenue growth that outpaced most peers. Yet Bank of America flagged margin pressure: 2025 EBIT margin sits at 8.9%, roughly 260 basis points below 2021 levels, and projected 2026 expansion of only 40 basis points falls short of market expectations.

BofA set a new price objective of $11.2, implying roughly 3% upside, while maintaining a 25‑times 2026 earnings multiple that demands earnings upgrades. Investors will watch Tom Ford, Zegna, and Thom Browne DTC performance, wholesale trends, and the upcoming leadership transition for clues on whether the brand can sustain margin improvement.