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US Stock Rally Relies on Dwindling Cash Reserves as Investors Pile Into Equities

Financial Times Markets •
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Institutional investors have made their largest monthly shift from cash to stocks in two years, with cash allocations falling to just 3.9 per cent of total assets. The Bank of America survey reveals private clients with at least $3 million in investable assets now hold less than 10 per cent in cash—the lowest level since tracking began. This rush into equities reflects mounting concern that inflation expectations are driving investors away from bonds.

Bond allocations have hit record lows among wealthy individuals and four-year lows among institutions, as fixed-income investments lose appeal when future purchasing power erodes. Equities offer better protection against inflation driven by strong demand, explaining the massive rotation into stocks despite geopolitical tensions and mixed corporate earnings.

The S&P 500 now depends heavily on tech giants, with the Magnificent Seven comprising roughly one-third of the index's total value. Nvidia, valued at $5.4 trillion, leads this concentration as its earnings report approaches. However, this creates vulnerability—if wealthy investors pull back, consumer-facing companies that generate real cash flows could suffer most.

The wealthiest Americans, who disproportionately drive US consumption, have tied up their cash in equities supporting the K-shaped economy. Should the stock market stumble, their reduced spending could severely impact consumer demand across sectors from automobiles to retail, potentially exposing the fragility of an AI-driven rally.