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US Copper Reserves Outpace China's Shortage, Study Reveals

Financial Times Markets •
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US copper reserves remain robust while China's critical shortage underscores urgent need for processing infrastructure over stockpiling, according to a Financial Times Markets analysis. The study emphasizes that domestic production capacity, not raw material hoarding, will determine global supply chain stability. Experts stress that processing plants capable of refining raw ore into usable metal will become the true bottleneck as demand surges for electric vehicles and renewable energy systems.

China's copper shortfall has intensified pressure on its imports, with the nation now relying on foreign suppliers for 60% of its refined metal needs. This vulnerability contrasts sharply with the US, where domestic mines and recycling operations meet 85% of demand. The disparity highlights geopolitical implications, as nations jockey for control over the metal essential for semiconductor fabrication and power grid modernization.

While both countries invest in mining expansion, the study warns that without parallel investments in recycling technologies, neither can fully secure supply chains. US firms like Freeport-McMoRan and Southern Copper Corporation dominate domestic processing, but Chinese state-backed firms face mounting pressure to modernize facilities. Analysts project that global copper prices could rise 20% by 2025 if processing capacity doesn't keep pace with demand.

The findings suggest immediate opportunities for infrastructure investment in North America and Europe, where idle smelters could be reactivated. For China, the priority shifts from accumulation to technological innovation, with research into alternative materials like aluminum and graphene gaining traction. 'This isn't about hoarding,' one metals analyst noted, 'it's about building the refineries that turn raw ore into economic value.'