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Will $100 Oil Accelerate EV Adoption?

Financial Times Companies •
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Rising oil prices are reigniting debate about electric vehicle adoption, but the real shift happened years ago. The economics already favor EVs - a Tesla Model 3 Long Range costs about 4.5 cents per mile to operate versus roughly 12 cents per mile for a typical gasoline car at current fuel prices.

US petrol prices climbed above $4 per gallon this week for the first time since August 2022, according to the American Automobile Association. While this widens the operating cost advantage for EVs, adoption has lagged due to higher upfront costs. The payback period - how long it takes fuel savings to offset the purchase price premium - remains the critical barrier for most consumers.

Legacy automakers face mounting pressure as fuel costs make their internal combustion business less viable. Companies like BYD have gained ground by offering EVs at lower price points, with registrations reaching nearly 18,000 units in Europe in February, up more than 160 percent. The remaining constraint is purchase price, with battery-electric vehicles in Europe carrying premiums as high as 40 percent over comparable petrol cars.