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AI-native rivals challenge tech mega‑caps

Financial Times Companies •
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Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla – the Mag7 – have underpinned the S&P 500 for a decade, representing about a third of its market cap. Their dominance rests on AI‑adjacent revenues and sizable stakes in emerging AI firms, turning these giants into proxy vehicles for the sector and shaping investor flows across global markets.

OpenAI, Anthropic and SpaceX – the “Three AImigos” – are preparing public listings after years of private fundraising. SpaceX’s recent secondary offering lifted its market value to roughly $2tn, briefly surpassing Microsoft. Analysts note the price‑to‑sales multiple exceeded 140× versus Microsoft’s 22.5× earnings, sparking debate over sustainable pricing for investors who chase growth and for regulators monitoring market concentration.

Microsoft holds a 27% stake in OpenAI, Alphabet about 14% of Anthropic and 5% of SpaceX, while Amazon’s Anthropic investment tops $70bn with an additional $50bn pledge to OpenAI. Nvidia supplies chips to all three, cementing its exposure. These cross‑holdings have turned the Mag7 into indirect owners of the next AI wave for market participants.

The surge of AI‑native firms threatens to displace the Mag7’s proxy role, echoing past episodes where listed stocks fell once their private counterparts went public. Capital is increasingly funneled toward a handful of mega‑caps or high‑valued private startups, leaving mid‑cap innovators starved of liquidity. Investor attention now pivots to whether the Three AImigos can sustain their sky‑high valuations.