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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Energy & Commodities

Oil futures fell 1.3% wsj.com in early Asian trade after the IEA proposed releasing strategic reserves, while gold steadied near $2,340 bloomberg.com as Middle East tensions offset risk-on sentiment. The Australian dollar strengthened 0.4% bloomberg.com against the greenback as elevated oil prices and rising rate expectations made it an unlikely haven. Iran's continued crude exports through the Strait of Hormuz defied expectations wsj.com, with Tehran's shipments exceeding pre-war levels despite regional conflict.

Regional Markets

MSCI India's valuation hit multi-year lows bloomberg.com as investors shifted from gold to bargain stocks, while Haleon's Shanghai plant investment bloomberg.com signals growing consumer health demand in emerging markets. Most Asian currencies appreciated 0.2-0.5% wsj.com against the dollar as falling crude prices eased import costs across the region. Vietnam's fuel fund intervention aimed to cap prices bloomberg.com at $0.90/liter to prevent shortages amid Middle East supply disruptions.

Fixed Income & Credit

Japanese government bonds extended their rally wsj.com tracking Treasury gains as traders priced in September Fed rate cuts, while Ares Management targeted Thailand bloomberg.com for its first Asia local currency private credit fund. The five-year JGB auction drew strong demand wsj.com despite Middle East tensions, with yields falling 4 basis points to 0.85%.

Corporate & Political Developments

Reliance Industries committed to Texas refinery ft.com as Trump administration seeks to boost domestic fuel capacity, while Aaru's teenage founders secured McDonald's and EY wsj.com as clients for their AI behavior prediction platform. Clayton Fuller's runoff victory demonstrated Trump's influence nytimes.com in Georgia's 14th District, defeating a more flamboyant Republican challenger.

Market Volatility

Trump administration's conflicting messages on Hormuz naval escorts triggered oil price swings ft.com, with futures oscillating between gains and losses as traders parsed conflicting signals. The IEA's proposed 60 million barrel reserve release overshadowed supply concerns nytimes.com, while China's strategic petroleum reserves provided refiners breathing room bloomberg.com amid regional conflict.

Policy & Infrastructure

The Global Entry program resumed operations nytimes.com at 5 a.m. Wednesday after Homeland Security's shutdown pause, while Attorney General Bondi relocated to military housing nytimes.com citing security threats. Haleon's $87.2 million Shanghai investment doubles down on China bloomberg.com growth strategy, complementing its India expansion plans as emerging markets drive consumer health demand.