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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Last updated: March 19, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Geopolitical Shocks & Energy Markets

Global energy markets remained highly reactive to Middle East tensions, though attempts by leaders to de-escalate prompted a pullback in prices after initial spikes. Oil futures eased from day’s highs ft.com after Benjamin Netanyahu stated ft.com that U.S.-Israeli strikes had effectively destroyed Iran’s ability to enrich uranium, a claim that President Trump later contradicted nytimes.com by saying he disapproved of the gas field attack. Despite these conflicting signals, the overall market sentiment moderated, causing oil to fall amid prospects wsj.com of potential removal of U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil at sea, according to CBA analysis. However, the structural damage inflicted on energy infrastructure suggests prolonged supply risks, as Europe braces for a multi-year energy squeeze bloomberg.com following the crippling of a vital Qatari gas plant, while refinery shutdowns in California threaten West Coast emergencies wsj.com.

Further illustrating market strain, U.S. natural gas futures rose alongside oil bloomberg.com on lingering fears of supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz, even as Iran moved its own oil bloomberg.com through the vital waterway at pre-war transit rates. The war’s ripple effects are spreading beyond crude; Asian refiners have asked Saudi Arabia to change bloomberg.com its crude pricing system due to the disrupted traditional framework, and fertilizer giant Yara curbed Indian production bloomberg.com due to curtailed feedstock gas supply. In the UK, petrol prices surged to 18-month highs bloomberg.com, even as the White House confirmed it was not planning to ban bloomberg.com oil or gas exports, attempting to reassure an industry worried about "panic" actions.

Fixed Income & Monetary Policy

Precious metals faced selling pressure as inflation concerns intensified and expectations for interest rate reductions from the Federal Reserve were pushed further out. Gold edged lower in early trade wsj.com and was set for its worst weekly loss bloomberg.com in six years as geopolitical uncertainty fueled energy prices, which in turn dampened easing bets. This sentiment was crystallized after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell stated bloomberg.com that higher energy prices would push up overall inflation, leading to gold tumbling for a sixth day bloomberg.com, its longest streak since late 2024. Meanwhile, aggressive price action across U.S. rate futures early Thursday, involving position flush-outs, exacerbated volatility bloomberg.com, while the dollar posted its worst day since January after central banks flagged inflationary shock risks amid the conflict bloomberg.com.

In corporate credit, Blackstone’s flagship private credit fund bloomberg.com planned to sell new collateralized loan obligation bonds backed by a broad swath of its $82.5 billion in assets. Elsewhere, the exodus from private credit is spreading to consumer loans wsj.com, stressing funds holding debt from firms like Affirm and Block, while the European Central Bank probed the use of leverage bloomberg.com underpinning banks’ significant risk transfer deals. In a rare bright spot for sovereign debt, Bolivia secured a credit rating upgrade bloomberg.com after its government pledged to cover dollar bond coupon payments due this month.

Equities, Corporate Activity & Tech

Volatility gripped trading floors, with the Dow industrials falling over 200 points wsj.com, leaving the index 8% off its record high, as Middle East concerns and inflation fears weighed heavily on sentiment heading into a Friday featuring a large triple-witching expiration risking added turbulence bloomberg.com. In technology, Jeff Bezos is reportedly negotiating nytimes.com a $100 billion fund dedicated to transforming companies using Artificial Intelligence, operating alongside his AI startup, Project Prometheus. In contrast, the software sector faced scrutiny over stock-based pay, as investors grew wary now that share prices are getting pummeled over AI fears bloomberg.com. Separately, Supermicro co-founder was charged ft.com in a conspiracy alleging that employees and a contractor smuggled Nvidia chips to China via Southeast Asia, underscoring ongoing national security risks regarding high-end semiconductors.

Corporate dealmaking remains active despite global jitters; Unilever entered talks wsj.com to spin off its food business and merge it with McCormick, while Ecolab nears a $4.5 to $5 billion deal wsj.com for KKR’s data-center cooling unit. In the financial sector, Citigroup’s global investment banking chair bloomberg.com John Chirico announced his retirement after several decades of service. Meanwhile, the nascent Texas Stock Exchange continued its executive recruitment drive, luring leadership away bloomberg.com from Nasdaq and the NYSE as it targets listings, backed by major players including BlackRock and Michael Dell bloomberg.com.

Regulatory & Industry Developments

Regulatory scrutiny intensified across several sectors, with bipartisan calls in Washington urging the SEC to restrict Chinese firms’ access ft.com to U.S. capital markets due to national security concerns. The SEC is also forming a new enforcement team bloomberg.com specifically to target "bad actors" within the often-opaque auditing profession following budget cuts to the independent oversight board. In the entertainment sphere, Live Nation’s CEO faced grilling wsj.com over ticket fees and prior comments boasting about the concert promoter’s dominance during an antitrust trial. Furthermore, the publisher Hachette canceled the release nytimes.com of the horror novel ‘Shy Girl’ over suspected unauthorized use of AI, signaling publishers’ commitment to "original creative expression."

In the auto sector, Tesla’s Semi-truck is proving popular wsj.com with drivers, winning praise for its centered driving position, fast charging capabilities, and a 500-mile range. In contrast, The Lycra Company, the spandex manufacturer, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy bloomberg.com in Texas to implement a debt write-off after creditors assumed control. Asia-Pacific markets saw China’s regulator move to cool the IPO boom ft.com by targeting "low-quality" listings, even as Hong Kong’s Cheng family bets on a property rebound bloomberg.com for New World Development.