Public Markets 3d Briefing
×Last updated: March 12, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Energy & Commodities
Oilfutures dropped 1.3% bloomberg.com in early Asian trade after OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held near $2,340 nytimes.com as a weakening dollar offset risk-on sentiment. A surge in aluminum prices bloomberg.com pushed China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists. Meanwhile, iron ore headed for its biggest weekly gain bloomberg.com in over a year, after China’s state-backed buyer moved to expand restrictions on BHP Group products, reflecting tighter supply dynamics. The Middle East conflict drove Brent crude to a 16-month high bloomberg.com, though traders anticipated a likely technical correction, as seen in Asian currencies consolidating wsj.com against the dollar amid ongoing volatility. Oil drillers in California resorted to trucking crude barrels bloomberg.com after a refinery shutdown and pipeline idling cut off exports, highlighting regional supply chain vulnerabilities.
Fixed Income
Japanese government bonds extended gains bloomberg.com tracking overnight Treasury rallies as traders increasingly price in a September Fed rate cut. U.S. airline bonds weakened bloomberg.com after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears, while Chicago's planned muni bond sale wsj.com tested investor appetite amid geopolitical uncertainty. The Iran war is causing the largest oil supply disruption wsj.com in history, prompting the IEA to slash its supply growth forecast and triggering a rush into safe-haven assets like gold. Consequently, U.S. Treasury yields fell bloomberg.com, with the German 10-year yield climbing to its highest since 2023 as inflation fears mounted.
Equity Markets
Rivian's make-or-break SUV launch wsj.com arrived at the worst possible moment for EVs, facing headwinds from an industry downturn despite its $57,990 price tag and 330-mile range. Brookfield Asset Management sought an $800 million loan bloomberg.com to back its acquisition of World Freight Co., underscoring private equity's push into AI infrastructure. Tencent and Alibaba gained traction bloomberg.com as AI hype around Open Claw heightened investor interest, though U.S. airline bonds weakened bloomberg.com amid fuel cost spikes. Tech stocks faced volatility, with Meta delaying its AI model rollout nytimes.com after performance concerns, while S&P 500 futures dipped bloomberg.com amid geopolitical risk. The war in Iran is reshaping global business ft.com, driving shifts in energy dependencies and trade routes, and U.S. allies near China on edge bloomberg.com as weapons focus shifted from Asia to the Middle East.
Capital Markets & Deals
Brookfield's loan request bloomberg.com for World Freight LBO signaled continued private credit activity, while China's AI giants offered better value bloomberg.com than U.S. peers per a top-performing emerging markets fund. A surge in aluminum prices bloomberg.com also benefited China Hongqiao, though short sellers reaped $1.8 billion bloomberg.com from Xiaomi's woes amid EV demand weakness. The CFTC issued guidance on prediction markets bloomberg.com to curb manipulation risks, while private credit funds faced a $400 million withdrawal bloomberg.com request from Cliffwater amid sector stress. Meanwhile, China's renminbi push matters ft.com even if it never rivals the dollar, as settlement costs decline and trade migration increases.
Macro & Geopolitics
The Iran war is lowering energy prices wsj.com, though analysts warn the risk of regime violence is already baked into global oil costs. India scrambled to keep stoves lit nytimes.com amid surging cooking gas demand from Persian Gulf disruptions, while Brazil cut fuel taxes bloomberg.com to offset oil price surges. China's consumer spending posted the worst start to a year outside COVID bloomberg.com, highlighting domestic demand challenges. The U.S. eased Russian oil sanctions ft.com to maintain flows amid Iran conflict, though Treasury Secretary Bessent called it "unfortunate" for Russia. Iran likely began laying mines in Hormuz bloomberg.com, escalating regional tensions further.
Other Markets
Gold edged higher wsj.com amid the Middle East conflict, while U.S. stocks faced a potential sell-off bloomberg.com as traders parsed Fed policy amid oil volatility. The S&P 500 weighed rule changes bloomberg.com that could fast-track SpaceX's entry, though bond market inflows hit $21 billion bloomberg.com as credit risk eased. MFS CEO faced allegations bloomberg.com of diverting funds in a mortgage fraud scheme, while Pimco's commodity fund plunged bloomberg.com 17% on war-driven oil volatility. Qatar halted LNG exports bloomberg.com for the longest stretch since 2008, straining global supply further.