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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Market Moves

The S&P 500 bloomberg.com dropped 1.2% in its worst week since June, reflecting deepening concerns over the US-Iran conflict. Entrata investing.com is working with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan on an IPO, highlighting continued M&A activity despite geopolitical tensions. Oil prices surged investing.com, hitting a 16-week high as crude rallied 13% to above $82 a barrel, driven by fears of prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. This surge threatens to deliver a fresh inflation shock to Japan, complicating Prime Minister Takaichi’s cost-of-living agenda, as noted by Monex’s Jesper Koll in a Bloomberg Markets report bloomberg.com. Airlines faced significant losses bloomberg.com, with sectors like aviation, paints, tires, and specialty chemicals under pressure due to the conflict’s impact on global trade.

Macro & Policy

Japan’s central bank intervened to support the yen as the conflict sapped sentiment, while Indonesia’s central bank also intervened bloomberg.com to stabilize the rupiah. Emerging-market currencies and stocks slumped bloomberg.com in Asia, weighed down by surging oil prices and risk-off sentiment. The conflict exposed vulnerabilities in global supply chains, with Australian LNG shares jumping bloomberg.com as tankers halted crossing the Strait of Hormuz, hampering about a fifth of global supply. Aluminum prices climbed bloomberg.com, reflecting concerns over Middle Eastern supply disruptions. Gold prices rose investing.com, as investors sought safer assets amid the escalating conflict.

Geopolitics & Markets

China called for an immediate ceasefire after the US and Israel launched strikes on Iran, urging de-escalation as President Xi Jinping weighed options. China’s opposition to the strikes was explained by Bloomberg’s Minmin Low, who highlighted how recent events could affect the Xi-Trump summit. Former US Deputy Secretary of State Wendy Sherman warned that Iran’s nuclear materials posed a risk, stating the regime would not splinter easily in a Bloomberg Markets piece bloomberg.com. Iran retaliated against US bases bloomberg.com, killing three US service members and escalating tensions further. The conflict also triggered travel chaos across the Middle East, with Gulf carriers extending flight suspensions.

Financial Markets Impact

Global equities retreated as risk appetite evaporated. Asia stocks slid investing.com, with refiners gaining on higher oil prices. Bitcoin fell to $66k investing.com, reflecting the broader risk-off wave. Treasury yields edged lower bloomberg.com, as haven demand waned amid reports of conciliatory messages from both the US and Iran. Emerging-market currencies weakened, while European natural gas prices could double bloomberg.com if Hormuz shipping halts for a month, according to Goldman Sachs.

Key Deals & Corporate Moves

Singapore’s stock market weakened wsj.com amid the Middle East conflict. Malaysia’s Lynas jumped investing.com on a renewed operating license for its Australian rare earths plant. Indonesia’s central bank intervened, and Australia’s Magellan Financial acquired Barrenjoey investing.com in a $1.1 billion stock deal. Saudi stocks slid investing.com, with Aramco limiting losses despite the conflict.

Summary

The US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered a cascade of effects: soaring oil prices, market volatility, currency weakness, and geopolitical risk. While gold and some energy stocks benefited, airlines, refiners, and emerging-market assets faced pressure. Central banks intervened to stabilize currencies, and the conflict reshaped global supply chains and investment flows, with implications for inflation, trade, and diplomatic relations.