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Last updated: May 23, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

Middle East Tensions & Energy Markets

The Iran standoff deepened overnight as officials from both Tehran and Washington signaled progress toward a cease-fire even as fighting in Lebanon pummeled targets and killed medics amid a fragile truce. The strain on global energy infrastructure is showing up in concrete numbers: the Federal Reserve's preferred top-line inflation gauge is rapidly approaching 4% as war-driven energy costs generate broadening price pressures, while U.S. forces have redirected 100 commercial vessels during a six-week blockade of Iranian ports. The Pentagon now warns that Tomahawk missile deliveries to allies could be delayed by two years as stocks run dry from the Middle East campaign, and U.S. oil producers are ramping up drilling to capture a 40% jump in costs from the global supply crunch. President Trump weighs new strikes in Iran against targets including the Isfahan nuclear facility and missile sites, while Britain prepares autonomous mine-hunting equipment at Gibraltar for a potential mission to clear the Strait of Hormuz. In India, state-run refiners raised diesel and gasoline prices for the third time in eight days as demand spiked and discount margins narrowed.

Ebola Crisis in Congo

Eastern Congo's Ebola outbreak is spiraling beyond containment as health workers managed to follow up with barely one in five contacts in a single day, while Africa's top public health official warned the response is being fought without vaccines. The situation drew a sharp reaction from the White House, which told Congo's soccer team to isolate for 21 days or risk being denied entry to the World Cup in Houston. Violence has also erupted at treatment centers, with a mob burning an Ebola center after staff refused to release a suspected victim's body. Kinshasa residents continue to pack markets and public transport despite international alarm, and U.S. travel restrictions face criticism from Congo health officials who say they impede the response. At least 82 people died in a coal mine explosion in China, prompting Xi Jinping to call for a full rescue and accountability for those responsible.

Trump Administration & Domestic Politics

President Trump pushed ahead on politically unpopular ideas after a bruising week, including a risky pivot to restrict legal immigration after spending a year focused on undocumented arrivals. The move drew scrutiny as the administration chipped away at the last traces of a broad Jan. 6 inquiry, aligning the Justice Department more closely with the president's own version of events. Trump's political playbook continued to generate friction as his $1.8 billion slush fund caused cracks within the Republican Party, and campaign promises to his "Moms for Trump" base unraveled when the president moved to benefit himself at their expense. In New York, Trump visited to boost a House Republican's re-election bid, but the event carried the earmarks of a personal rally rather than a policy push. Meanwhile, the Justice Department moved to limit assistance animals for disabled tenants, narrowing the definition of service animals and excluding emotional support animals from housing accommodations.

Markets & M&A Activity

Stocks kept setting records despite war, inflation, and AI overhang concerns, while deal activity hit record highs as the AI revolution turbocharged mergers and acquisitions. The German food-delivery group Delivery Hero launched a €10 billion takeover bid for Uber, and rival Door Dash is also in the picture. SpaceX completed its mostly successful 12th Starship test flight, with the rocket splashing down in the Indian Ocean after more than an hour of flight, while the company aims for an IPO that could be the largest ever and leans into old-school listing mechanics that may delay its opening until the afternoon. Superdrug owner AS Watson pressed ahead with a $30 billion dual listing in Hong Kong and London before the end of 2026, and China Inc. browsed western consumer brands including Everlane amid domestic deflationary pressures. Venture capitalist John Doerr called AI the biggest tech tsunami ever, saying the revolution is if anything underhyped.

Fed, Bonds & Inflation

Kevin Warsh promised a "regime change" at the Fed but analysts say limits on unilateral action mean he will need patience and consensus. The ECB may need to hike rates next month to preserve credibility, according to Governing Council member Yannis Stournaras. Bond markets slumped and stoked vigilante fears as inflation persistence eroded fixed-income returns, while global factory activity continued to sag under inflationary pressure. U.S. consumers faced $6 gas prices in California, forcing behavioral changes, and New Zealand committed about NZ$1.6 billion to drones and naval upgrades as maritime security concerns mount. India raised energy prices repeatedly while Marco Rubio met Narendra Modi with energy security on the agenda, and the Bangladesh central bank launched a $5 billion fund to revive shuttered factories and support small businesses.